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迎多重利好 指数化投资发展有望提速

2017-09-20 07:42:07   中国经济网

9月19日,中证指数有限公司在上海举办第十一届指数与指数化投资论坛。与会人士表示,当前全球指数化投资依旧处于快速发展期,而中国的指数化投资将在FOF产品发行、资本市场开放、养老金投资等多个方面迎来利好。整体来看,当前指数化投资在中国的发展空间,有望进一步大幅拓展。

规模料进一步扩大

中投公司副总经理祁斌表示,近年来,全球公开市场股票的主动投资比重持续下降。在美国,主动投资的占比从过去的80%-90%降到现在的60%-70%,而机构投资者调整规模和净流出的资金比例更为显著。自美国次贷危机以来,各国持续量化宽松,市场同涨同跌特征突出,这使得相对大势而言,公司个体特征对回报影响重要性减弱。整体来看,指数化被动投资过去几年在全球的大发展,有着非常突出的市场环境背景。

而对于目前全球指数化投资的整体状况,德意志资产管理北亚被动型投资副总裁曹靖牧表示,过去十几年,上世纪90年代末期到本世纪初期,ETF或被动投资当中流动性最活跃的产品,出现显著的爆发性增长。根据相关预测来看,目前被动投资方面的ETF资产刚刚突破4万亿美元,而在2021年这一规模可能突破8万亿美元。

此外,先锋领航投资管理(上海)有限公司总经理赵曌指出,在养老金的投资组合中,被动式投资、指数化的投资应用非常多。从发达市场看,主动管理资产规模占主流,从全球范围内看,越来越多的被动产品、指数化产品受到投资者的欢迎。而另一方面,从不同国家主动型股票的基金跑赢指数基准的比例来看,不管是过去五年还是十年、十五年,不同国家跑赢基准的主动型基金比例都明显较低,这将继续有利于未来指数化投资在全球进一步扩大规模。

指数化投资迎重大机遇

中证指数有限公司总经理马志刚指出,去年四季度以来,受FOF运作指引落地等因素影响,国内公募基金指数型产品的发行数量快速增长。而从金融投资的许多业内人士来看,未来中国资产管理对于指数化投资的运用将更加广阔。而就目前来看,指数化投资在国内正迎来多个重大机遇。

汇添富基金指数与量化投资部副总监楚天舒表示,养老金投资、大量FOF产品的发行以及中国资本市场的开放等,都将为指数化投资的扩大运用,带来更多空间。具体而言,从资产规模和投资风格等角度来看,养老金作为一个寻求长期投资回报的基金,会更加追求稳定收益,更偏长期配置。在这样的背景下,风格鲜明、成本低、市场代表性比较好的指数型基金,都将是养老金配置的重点。因此,随着我国养老金市场的发展,养老金投资体量增加,投资风格成熟,指数化产品、指数化投资会在这一领域,将会迎来一个比较好的风口。

而对于中国指数化投资的发展建议,华安基金管理有限公司指数与量化投资事业部总经理许之彦表示,相关部门在指数化产品税收等方面的支持、养老金方面的安排、交易机制的突破、综合费率的调降等,都能够进一步加快指数化投资在国内的发展。

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