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资金市场监测:节前压力显现
2017-09-18 09:16:44 中国经济网
9月15日当周,Shibor(上海银行间同业拆放利率)呈现近强远弱格局。短期的隔夜、1周、2周、1月Shibor分别报收于2.6958%、2.8320%、3.7218%,较9月8日上升5.98、2.97、1.3个基点。中长期3月、6月、9月和1年的Shibor分别报收于4.3647%、4.3870%、4.3980%、4.4015%,较9月8日下降6.34、1.49、0.31、0.44个基点。
表为上海银行间同业拆放利率(单位:%)
月初,央行超量续作MLF,缓解了长期的资金水平。上周,公开市场业务回笼资金压力不大,仅有1100亿元的逆回购和1135亿元的MLF到期,市场到期压力较小。因此,上周前两个交易日,央行并没有进行公开市场业务的相关操作。但是,上周银行有6000亿元的同业存单到期,而且随着月底临近,季末考核和长假对资金的需求作用开始显现。因此,上周后两个交易日,短期拆借利率大幅上涨。为了缓解资金压力,央行在周三重启逆回购,并且力度较大。9月13—15日,央行共进行了3700亿元的逆回购,其中7天期逆回购2100亿元,额度分别为300亿元、600亿元和1200亿元;14天期逆回购1100亿元,额度分别为200亿元、300亿元和600亿元;28天期逆回购500亿元,额度分别为200亿元、100亿元和200亿元。
综合来看,受季末资金需求上升影响,本周短期利率或延续走强态势,但是考虑到市场整体资金压力不大,并且央行又重启逆回购缓解资金紧张的局面,因此,预计月底国内资金需求高峰能够平稳运行。
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