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8月用电量同比增6.4% 环比回落

2017-09-18 07:26:38   中国经济网

国家能源局数据显示,8月份全社会用电量5991亿千瓦时,同比增长6.4%,环比7月的近4年最高纪录(增长9.9%)下降了3.5个百分点,也拉低前8月用电增幅至6.8%。

国家发改委新闻发言人孟玮表示,作为用电大户的二产用电量同比增长2.6%,环比7月份下降10.8%,主要是有色、钢铁、电力生产和供应业等行业用电量环比减少。

据了解,今年前两月全社会用电量同比增长6.3%,3月份同比增长7.9%,但4月以来,用电量增速逐步回落,5月份同比增长5.1%,创年内新低。而6月又大幅提升1.4个百分点,同比增长6.5%。7月更是创下2013年9月以来46个月间最高月度用电增幅。

此次8月份用电量回落,除了气温的因素,与短期经济尤其是工业的运行波动不无关系。分产业来看,8月第一产业、第三产业和城乡居民生活用电增速都保持较高增长,分别为11.7%、12.7%和16.4%,仅有第二产业增幅为较低的个位数。

而8月份国民经济运行情况显示,工业增加值和固定资产投资等个别数据出现了一些放缓。国家发改委和国家统计局等部门分析,短期的波动是受到一些非经济的因素,比如气候、基数等方面的影响,它不一定能够代表整体的趋势。7、8两月的高温多雨天气对一些指标造成了一定影响。在高温多雨的情况下,不少工业企业停产检修,正常的生产经营受到一定的影响,对工业生产的同比增速也会造成一定的影响。整体来看,8月份经济运行的基本面没有发生大的变化,生产需求比较稳定,经济结构调整继续推进,质量效益继续提高,稳中有进、稳中向好的态势没有发生变化。

从发电情况看,8月,全国水电延续上月正增长态势,当月发电量同比增长6.4%,增速较7月份提高6.2个百分点。1—8月,全国发电量同比增长7.4%,火电、核电发电量同比分别增长7.5%和18.3%,由于上半年来水较枯,水电发电量累计同比下降2.5%,但降幅收窄。

中国电力企业联合会认为,综合宏观经济形势、外贸出口、服务业发展、电能替代、房地产及汽车行业政策调整、气温等方面因素,预计全年电力消费增长呈前高后稳走势。考虑到2016年下半年高基数因素形成的下拉影响(2016年下半年全社会用电量增长7.2%,比上半年增速2.7%提高4.5个百分点),预计今年下半年全社会用电量增速略高于4%;全年全社会用电量同比增长5%左右,增速与上年大体持平。若全国出现长时间大范围极端高温天气,则将导致全年全社会用电量增速略高于5%。

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