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双节开启倒计时 假期概念股率先启动

2017-09-16 07:41:48   中国经济网

此外在混改概念的加持下,民航板块是值得中长期看好的板块之一。行业人士认为,混改为航空股提供重要的炒作主题,同时随着我国航空出行日渐大众化,航空股的投资逻辑将逐从强周期股向类消费股过渡,从而带动估值水平的提升。

罗月江表示看好航空板块在高铁提速以及中报不达预期消化之后的行情,人民币对美元升值以及航空基本面的好转更坚定了看好航空股的信心。建议关注全年执行提价策略、下半年运力可能集中投放的中国国航,和点多面广二三线城市发力的南方航空,以及游客占客户比重较高的,在出境游数据好转时最为受益的春秋航空。

潜力股精选

中国国航(601111) 

汇率油价利好

民生证券指出,从已有的航空板块改革情况分析,公司混改可能引入战略投资者和进行货运板块改革。公司货运板块经营状况一般,因此对货运板块进行改革为大概率事件。后续存在在货运板块与快递公司或电商合作,引入战略投资者的可能性。借此国航可提高运力利用效率,提振货运板块盈利能力。油价仍处低位,若维持价格现状,油价压力将逐季递减;人民币近期强势明显,2017汇率压力明显降低;PMI走高,公商务出行需求回升,期待业绩提振。

南方航空(600029)

定增启动助力发展

公司作为三大航中机队规模最大的航司,航油成本相应更高。鉴于国际原油市场供给过剩需求放缓局面仍未改观,下半年油价上行阻力较大,因而对公司影响有望降低;同时人民币币值正值上升通道,上半年公司产生汇兑收益5.61亿元,人民币升值亦可抵销油价的不利影响,业绩有望稳定增长。申万宏源证券指出,公司完成向美航发行H股股份引入美航资本,混改取得重大突破。双同时,公司与法航、荷航、厦航签订四方合作备忘录,新增墨西哥航、阿提哈德航、南美航、沙特航代码共享等业务,国际航空市场话语权日益增强。

春秋航空(601021)

中长期拐点已现

在国内成熟市场,公司通过成功的高客座率变现,下半年旺季这一策略有望持续。2017年第三季度、第四季度公司业绩有望触底回升。海通证券指出,中长期来看公司成长逻辑清晰。外延扩张方面,公司计划在2019年引进240座级的A321飞机,使得公司可覆盖范围明显拓宽,航距拉长30%,有助于公司拓展国际航线,带来外延收益。时刻释放方面,“十三五”末期,一线机场时刻有望迎来大幅释放,上海浦东机场和虹桥机场作为春秋航空的基地机场,有望在时刻分配上给与春秋航空更多倾斜。

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