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公募仓位已达历史中高位水平 绩优基金仍在提高仓位

2017-09-16 07:06:40   中国经济网

9月以来,随着A股市场的不断走高,公募基金的做多情绪也随之上升。数据显示,普通股票型基金的平均仓位从7月初的80.85%上升到了本周初的83.10%,处于历史中高位水平,虽然部分权益类基金开始减仓以控制风险,但有些绩优基金仍在提升仓位。

公募基金对后市存分歧

伴随A股市场的不断走高,公募基金配置A股的热情也水涨船高。银河证券数据显示,三季度以来,公募基金配置股票的比例持续上升,普通股票型基金的平均仓位从7月初的80.85%上升到了本周一的83.10%,在各类型基金当中股票仓位上升最快;偏股混合型基金的平均仓位,从76.59%上升到了77.05%;平衡混合型基金的平均仓位,从62.41%上升到了64.06%。

不过,在9月第一周公募基金大幅加仓后,本周部分权益型产品已开始选择减仓以控制风险,普通股票型、偏股混合型、平衡混合型基金的平均仓位均有不同程度回落,这也使得9月份公募基金的股票仓位增速较前两个月明显放缓。记者据Wind资讯统计发现,选择减仓的主要是中低仓位股票的基金,而高仓位基金的情况基本没有变化。

格上理财分析师杨晓晴告诉记者,加仓逻辑主要基于“供给侧改革叠加消费升级促进经济基本面企稳向好、已长达两年调整的股市具备一定的估值优势、两融余额及两市交易额的攀升表明投资者入市意愿强烈”三个方面,而且股市近期确实呈现了一定的赚钱效应,部分机构选择高仓位运作,但市场长期行情暂时还难以判断,也有机构选择适当减仓以落袋为安控制风险,防止收益回吐。

绩优基金仍在提高仓位

在公募基金9月仓位增速放缓的同时,绩优基金的平均仓位仍有明显的提升。根据银河证券对过去4个季度基金的择时表现做出的量化研究而选出的绩优基金,这些基金中的普通股票型、偏股混合型产品的平均仓位从7月的80.85%、76.59%%上升到本周一的88.60%、79.39%,普通股票型产品在短短两个多月上升了近8个百分点,距离2015年9月绩优基金仓位的89.70%仅有一步之遥。

诺安成长、富国沪港深价值精选、申万菱信新经济、光大新增长等246只基金已将仓位提高至投资比例上限,达到了95%;大成趋势回报、华宝兴业万物互联、创金合信优价成长等146只基金,也将仓位提高至90%以上。以今年以来收益率11.96%的中银消费主题混合为例,9月该基金投资股票的比例从88.39%大幅上升到95.00%;今年以来收益率6.07%的华宝兴业服务优选,9月份投资股票的比例从78.60%大幅上升到95.00%。

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