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油价或小幅上涨

2017-09-14 09:17:50   中国经济网

据新华社上海9月13日电 又临近成品油调价时间窗口,在连续两次调价搁浅后,业内预计,本轮国内成品油价格上涨概率较大但幅度微弱,若按私家车主加满一箱油60升测算,或多掏4元钱左右。

本轮成品油调价周期内,国际油价保持小幅上涨态势。飓风哈维离开后,美国炼油厂恢复生产带动了原油需求;同时,欧佩克和非欧佩克可能延长减产协议的预期也支撑着国际油价走稳。

根据定价机制,本轮成品油调价周期将于9月15日24时开启。9月13日是本轮调价周期内第8个工作日。新华社石油价格系统9月13日发布的数据显示,9月12日一揽子原油平均价格变化率为5.01%。9月15日24时成品油调价窗口开启时,预计汽、柴油调价将迎来每吨80至100元幅度的上调,折合92号汽油每升上调0.06至0.08元,0号柴油每升上调0.07至0.09元。

部分能源研究机构对此次调价幅度的预测则更保守。9月13日安迅思发布的变化率指数为4.88%,对应成品油调价幅度为每吨55元,折合升价约0.05元。

安迅思认为,按照当前的原油价格测算,本轮成品油价格上调幅度在每吨50元的门槛线上方。如果接下来两个交易日,国际油价走势平稳,成品油价格将迎来年内第七次上调,但仍存在调价搁浅的可能性。

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