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人民币中间价再度下调逾百点
2017-09-14 08:52:34 中国经济网
继周二下调280个基点之后,周三人民币中间价再度下调逾百点。据中国外汇交易中心公布最新数据显示,9月13日人民币对美元汇率中间价较前一个交易日下调105点,报6.5382元。不过当天外汇市场上,人民币开始有所反弹,截至当天17时30分左右,在岸人民币兑美元即期汇率报6.5306,升值47基点;离岸人民币兑美元报6.5339,升值22基点;两岸汇差仅有33基点。
招商证券首席宏观分析师谢亚轩指出,当前的美元指数回到了略低于特朗普上台前的93、94水平,虽然较本轮的高点103已经有显著的回落,但从更长周期的角度看,目前美元指数仍处于强势水平。此时断言美元强势周期终结还为时过早。
方正证券首席宏观分析师任泽平指出,短期看,人民币汇率双向波动符合中美两国经济基本面。从内部看,中国经济正站在新周期的底部和起点上,但尚未形成明显复苏态势。从政策导向看,近期央行释放信号,不愿人民币短期继续大幅升值。人民币汇率前景根本上取决于中国经济改革转型前景。可能的风险包括美联储加息超预期;国内货币收紧和金融去杠杆;房地产调控过紧;改革低于预期。
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