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人民币中间价调升237点至6.5032 再度刷新16个月新高

2017-09-08 11:21:58   中国经济网

9月8日,人民币兑美元中间价调升237个基点,报6.5032,为去年5月12日来新高,且为有记录来第二次连升10日。至此,本周人民币兑美元中间价累计调升877个基点。市场人士指出,目前来看,美元指数持续弱势,且后续反弹动力不足,随着市场预期自我强化,年内人民币总体走势仍是易涨难跌,不过也需提防超涨后市场阶段性回调的风险。

周四美元指数跌0.78%,报91.5275,创2015年1月以来最低。美元兑日元跌0.69%,报108.47,盘中触及一年以来新低108.045。欧元兑美元大涨0.88%,报1.2022,升穿1.20美元,创近两周最大单日涨幅。

欧洲央行9月7日公布9月利率决议,维持主要利率不变,月度购债规模保持在600亿欧元,符合预期。机构普遍认为,欧洲央行将在10月份宣布缩减QE,欧元相对美元强势的态势很可能将延续。

国内方面,央行9月7日公布数据显示,8月外汇储备为30915.27亿美元,环比增加108.07亿美元,创2014年6月以来首次七连涨,且连续七个月站稳3万亿以上。

申万宏源证券表示,8月人民币汇率大幅升值,同时外汇占款可能转正。预计年底前国际收支持续改善,主要原因包括:1)境内外信贷环境对比发生变化、人民币汇率稳中有升,预计2015年流出最大的偿还外债类项目2017年将转为流入1200亿美元左右;2)2016年流出最大单项:国内企业“走出去”流出,2017年得到较为严格的规范,预计流出规模较2016年缩窄800亿美元左右,预计全年外储资产(月度口径)或增长1200亿美元,逆转此前2年的大幅下降局面。国际收支的持续改善,叠加美元指数仍易下难上,预计年底前人民币仍有相对美元的升值空间,预计年底升至6.4附近。

九州证券最新点评称,随着特朗普政府内部分歧加大、美国经济复苏阶段性见顶、欧洲经济复苏强劲,将进一步带动美元指数走弱,与此相反,中国经济逐渐稳定进入L型下半场、资产价格泡沫风险逐渐化解,中美基本面对比将进一步带动人民币走强,“人民币强势、美元弱势”格局确认。

今日人民币中间价公布后,离岸人民币兑美元短线走低逾百点,失守6.49关口,一度跌至6.4963。在岸人民币兑美元开盘涨逾170点报6.48,创2016年5月以来新高。中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布,2017年9月8日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价为:1美元兑人民币6.5032元,1欧元兑人民币7.8013元,100日元兑人民币5.9840元,1港元兑人民币0.83337元,1英镑兑人民币8.4930元,1澳大利亚元兑人民币5.2227元,1新西兰元兑人民币4.6999元,1新加坡元兑人民币4.8413元,1瑞士法郎兑人民币6.8262元,1加拿大元兑人民币5.3550元,人民币1元兑0.64851马来西亚林吉特,人民币1元兑8.7816俄罗斯卢布,人民币1元兑1.9745南非兰特,人民币1元兑173.90韩元,人民币1元兑0.56648阿联酋迪拉姆,人民币1元兑0.57841沙特里亚尔,人民币1元兑39.2155匈牙利福林,人民币1元兑0.54496波兰兹罗提,人民币1元兑0.9542丹麦克朗,人民币1元兑1.2213瑞典克朗,人民币1元兑1.1923挪威克朗,人民币1元兑0.52510土耳其里拉,人民币1元兑2.7236墨西哥比索。

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