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下周一迎9月解禁高峰 中报成绩差的股得小心(名单)

2017-09-08 14:41:51   新华网

尽管近期市场走好,但市场对那些中报成绩差的个股一点不给面子。加之下周一(9月11日)又迎来9月解禁高峰,对于那些业绩下滑,估值偏高的个股而言可能是个巨大考验。

据万和证券统计,从9月每天的解禁情况来看,整个9月的解禁分布较不平均,月初和月末解禁规模相对较月中解禁规模大,9月解禁高峰集中在4个交易日:9月6号、9月11号、9月26号和9月29号,四日解禁规模分别为479亿、533亿、324亿和286亿。四日总解禁规模占9月解禁规模的54%,其余交易日解禁规模较小,单日解禁压力不大。

从解禁股份性质来看,9月定向增发机构配售股份解禁规模共2140亿,为9月总规模的71%,8月定增解禁规模占比为52%,本月通过定增解禁规模较上月同比大幅增加。9月首发原股东限售股份的减持规模有851亿,占总解禁规模28%。定增解禁和首发原股东解禁规模共占9月总解禁规模的98.7%。由于通过定向增发的投资者本身具备更强的减持意愿,本月解禁压力相对较大。

从个股上来看,9月有6家公司解禁规模超过100亿。其中信威集团9月解禁市值为189亿,海航控股解禁市值为153亿,世纪华通解禁市值为150亿,大康农业解禁市值为138亿,重庆燃气解禁市值为135亿,宝硕股份解禁市值为108亿。

从解禁股本占比来看,重庆燃气、福斯特、好利来、大康农业、迪瑞医疗、华懋科技、腾信股份、杭州解百、中来股份、天和防务、龙宇燃油解禁股本占总股本比重超过50%。其中,重庆燃气解禁股本占总股本近90%,福斯特、好利来和大康农业解禁股本占比也超过了70%,需投资者密切关注。

万和证券分析师朱志强表示,上市公司中报已在8月底前全部披露,9月解禁个股需注意估值与业绩匹配性,若股价锁定期内已有一定涨幅,中报披露业绩不佳,且估值与业绩增长匹配性不高,则解禁意愿相对较为强烈,投资者需谨慎留意。同时,定向增发机构配售股的解禁意愿更强,投资者需格外警惕。下面是9月定向增发机构配售个股中的2017年中报净利润同比负增长的公司汇总:

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