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中证500期指多空分歧增大

2017-09-08 08:57:03   中国经济网

周四股市回调,上证指数尾盘下行,收跌0.6%。股指期货下跌,沪深300股指期货下跌0.6%,上证50股指期货下跌0.9%,中证500股指期货下跌0.8%。这是上证指数突破3300点以来,首次大小盘指数共振下跌。自8月29日以来,沪深300、上证50等以大盘股为主的指数持续振荡,而风格偏向中小盘股的中证500指数持续上涨,直至周四与大盘指数共振下跌。

量能方面,IF合约、IC合约持仓量增加,IH持仓量减少。IF四合约总持仓量增加347手至40410手,总成交量增加394手至15010手;IC四合约总持仓量增加412手至31852手,总成交量增加282手至11583手;IH四合约总持仓量减少347手至25082手,总成交量减少327手至9281手。IF和IC总持仓量增加,预示中小盘股的多空分歧有所增大。

净持仓方面,交易所收盘后公布的净持仓数据显示,三大期指主力多空双方均减仓,而空头减仓幅度多数大于多头,导致三大期指主力净空仓减少。以前20名席位合计持仓为例,IF合约净空单减少602手至1925手,IC净空单减少396手至734手,IH净空单减少40手至345手。此外,IC前5名席位合计持仓由9月6日的净空单85手,转为净多单68手。

综合分析,IF和IC总持仓量增加预示中小盘股多空分歧有所增大,IC前5名席位合计持仓由净空单转为净多单也支持这个假设。由于近期上证指数、沪深300、上证50等指数持续振荡,仅有风格偏向中小盘股的指数上涨,中小盘股的多空分歧加大有可能导致总体行情进入振荡。

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