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民办K12教育迎来高速增长期 海亮教育股价一月翻倍

2017-09-04 07:35:52   中国经济网

中国新版《民办教育促进法》于2017年9月1日起正式施行。分析人士认为,K12(幼儿园至高中三年级)教育和职业培训等民办教育机构将率先受益;非义务教育阶段产权清晰的幼儿园、职业院校、高中及大学阶段的民办学校和国际学校将长期受益。1日,在纳斯达克上市的内地民办K12教育旗舰企业海亮教育集团(纳斯达克交易代码:HLG)涨逾10%,8月以来股价已经翻倍。

股价创下52周新高点

海亮教育集团的股价在9月1日大涨11.37%,报收于18.71美元,领涨中概股。盘中触及20.25美元创下了52周新高点。

海亮教育集团始创于1995年8月,是一家K12民办教育服务机构。2015年7月,海亮教育集团在美国纳斯达克全球市场挂牌上市。今年3月,海量教育发布半年报称,2017财年上半年实现营业收入3.68亿元,同比增长20.6%;净利润5300万元,同比增长513.2%;毛利率为20.8%,2016年同期为16.3%。自今年8月以来,海亮教育集团的股价已经翻倍。

新版《民办教育促进法》的施行,给内地民办K12教育带来更多的发展契机。目前,在新生人口增长及基础教育需求带动下,内地民办K12教育正处于高速增长期。兴业证券引述权威报告称,民办中小学的总收入已由2012年的1241亿元人民币,增长48.4%至2015年的1842亿元,并预计至2020年,民办中小学的总收入较2015年仍有77.2%的上涨空间,料达3,255亿元。此外,兴业证券预计至2020年,内地教育市场总规模达5万亿元,其中K12教育市场规模接近3万亿元,较2016年增长达35.6%。

非义务教育领域静待资本进入

由于新规下义务教育阶段(小学和初中)仍不允许资本进入,南京大学商学院发布的分析报告称,整体资本,尤其是追寻长期回报的大资本,将会越来越多的配置在幼儿园阶段、高中阶段以及国际学校阶段,当然不排除还会有资本继续向大学阶段进一步的扩充,所以将会看到在整个资本市场上会有越来越多的并购以及IPO的发生。同时,小学和初中的义务教育阶段也会涌现两种模式;第一种模式为大量资本涌入课外辅导机构,比如学而思和新东方等辅导机构,这种对非学历的课外培养、课外辅导机构的资本投入将会不断增加。第二种模式为国外的国际学校,作为教育行业的细分行业,它将会越来越受到资本市场的青睐,虽然此类学校价格不菲,但由于它们直接进行美国和英国式的教育,很可能会得到更多的资本青睐。

瑞银证券亚洲中小企业研究联席主管谌戈在日前接受中国证券报记者采访时表示,看好中国内地的K12(幼儿园至高三年级)课外辅导市场。他指出,中国内地的K12课外辅导市场是未来五年规模可望翻一倍的少数几个行业之一,预计五年时间里市场收入规模将翻一番,从2016年的4970亿元变为2021年的10820亿元。

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