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比特币离“炒爆”还有多远

2017-08-31 07:15:42   中国经济网

一 帆

黄金一直被视为避险情绪的发泄池。不过,现在的避险工具池里又扩容进了比特币。

受半岛局势因素影响,黄金价格冲天一飞,昨日继续走出新高后小有回落,而比特币价格却创出新高。据OKCoin币行的行情数据显示,8月30日12时31分比特币价格再次突破新高30200元,与当日最低点29270元相比,涨幅超3%。而国外的比特币价格在上午10时前已站上30700元的高位。

历史上比特币的涨跌莫测,更使其风光无两。基于OKCoin币行的行情数据统计,最近一次比特币交易价格从20000元涨到30000元,是在8月6日到17日,用了11天,随后又在22日跌落到24880元,直到昨日再回30000元。这种快速致富效应是其具有投资吸引力的重要因素,而近期关于ICO监管的讨论也被投资界解读为比特币的利好,因为监管部门的风险提示以及及时的干预让相关投资者意识到市场的风险和泡沫化严重,促进用户理性回归,使大量资金从ICO市场回归到主流价值币——比特币中。

而且,一些国家还对比特币等数字货币表现出越来越宽容的态度,提升市场预期。日本4月1日生效的《支付服务修正法案》承认比特币等虚拟货币支付手段的合法性;美国部分州也对比特币持积极态度;韩国《比特币监管法案》对比特币进行了定义;瑞士认可其为支付手段……市场预期的向好提高了比特币的投资性能。

不过,“无限风光在险峰”,风光和风险往往也相伴而行。虽然全球央行开始关注对数字货币的研究,但比特币不会成为法定数字货币,这是已经明确的。而且,比特币也远未达到与贵金属黄金一样的地位。有关数据显示,所有数字货币的市值在本周二达到1600亿美元,其中比特币的市场份额最大,达到近750亿美元,以太币的市场价值为347亿美元,而大约7.5万亿美元的黄金正在流通,其体量差异由此可见一斑。

独具慧眼

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