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公开市场结束6日净回笼 隔夜shibor创逾两年新高

2017-08-30 07:30:29   中国经济网

每经记者 张寿林 每经记者 毕陆名

多番逆回购,依然连续6个交易日净回笼,8月29日,央行开展7天期500亿元逆回购操作,终于实现了100亿元净投放,公开市场流动性压力缓释。同日,上海银行间同业拆放利率全面走高,隔夜shibor上涨7.10个基点至2.9220%,创下2015年4月以来新高。

上周公开市场净回笼3300亿元,本周一接着再回笼1000亿元,市场出现了一定程度的流动性压力抬升。这背后是央行开展数轮总计5200亿元的逆回购,但回笼局面未改。今日再次操作逆回购,局面终于打破,实现净投放。

近期公开市场流动性压力虽有一定程度的抬升,但从长远看,交行金融研究中心高级研究员陈冀分析,当前国债到期收益率较6月中旬已明显回落,可见当前市场流动性压力可能较二季度末有了较大改善,甚至可能部分机构已经在近一段时间开始配置债券资产。

资金利率波动幅度小于二季度

上周以来至本周一,央行仅在24、25日两个交易日未逆回购。24日央行公布,2017年8月24日开展800亿元中央国库现金管理商业银行定期存款操作,银行体系流动性总量处于适中水平,不开展公开市场操作。

25日,央行再次公布,考虑到财政支出、地方国库现金管理商业银行定期存款操作、金融机构法定准备金退缴等因素将投放流动性,对冲央行逆回购到期后银行体系流动性处于适中水平,8月25日不开展公开市场操作。

仅过一个周末,28日(本周一),央行表述有所转变,尽管有财政支出补充流动性,仍然需要辅以公开市场操作:考虑到月末财政支出可一定程度对冲央行逆回购到期等因素,为维护银行体系流动性基本稳定,央行于2017年8月28日以利率招标方式开展了1000亿元逆回购操作。

29日净投放,不过shibor利率全线上涨,隔夜shibor升7.1bp至2.9220%,这一数据已高于2015年4月3日的2.8870%,甚至高于7月29日7天期的2.9210%水平。隔夜和7天期shibor倒挂,这是近一两年以来首次。

华创证券屈庆分析团队指出,三季度以来似乎与二季度资金走势相类似,7月资金利率如同4月走出一波上行,8月类似5月保持高位震荡,只是在央行“削峰填谷”操作下,资金利率波动幅度小于二季度。

二季度货币政策执行报告的专栏中,央行将超储率下滑归因于支付体系的现代化、金融市场的发展为银行提供了更方便的融资渠道,以及商业银行流动性管理水平的提高,而非银行体系流动性的收紧和货币政策取向的变化。

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