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五粮液上半年净利增近三成 经销商预计普五一批价仍将走高

2017-08-29 09:07:17   中国经济网

每经记者 陈星 每经编辑 姚治宇

从2016下半年以来,白酒市场复苏之风劲吹。近日,酒企年中报相继出炉,多数酒企业绩表现亮眼。

8月27日晚,五粮液(000858,SZ)披露2017年半年报,报告期内实现营业收入156.21亿元,同比增长17.85%;净利49.72亿元,同比增长27.91%。这是五粮液集团自今年3月换帅,集团董事长李曙光上任后,五粮液上市公司交出的首份半年报。多家券商研报认为,五粮液已重回量价双升轨道。

与茅台酒价格提升态势相同,五粮液主打产品得价格目前也呈走高之势。昨日(8月28日),五粮液一位经销商告诉《每日经济新闻》记者,目前其所在区域普五一批价已达到820元/瓶左右,预计接下来进入白酒消费旺季后,其价格仍有望上行。

高端白酒消费人群持续扩大

随着行业复苏,五粮液交出了一份不错的半年报。单从第二季度看来,公司实现营业收入54.62亿元,同比增加23.3%,较第一季度15.1%的收入增幅提升约8个百分点;二季度实现净利润13.78亿元,同比增加40.1%。

据华泰证券数据,五粮液上半年预收款叠加收入整体增速约为19.6%左右。此外,由于五粮液去年历经两次提价及中高端产品占比提升,公司毛利率同比也有所提升。

对五粮液半年报业绩提升背后原因,华泰证券、平安证券等多家机构认为,由于飞天茅台酒价格不断上行,给五粮液留出了市场空间,且茅台供需关系持续紧张,终端时常缺货,五粮液出货超预期,造成量价齐升。

五粮液亦表示,受经济发展和消费升级推动,高端白酒消费人群持续扩大,受工艺和产能限制,未来五粮液高端白酒的稀缺性将进一步显现。

针对市场关注的消费税问题,五粮液在公告中表示,由于公司消费税税基自今年5月1日起提高,其报告期内缴纳消费税为10.16亿元,同比增长约38%,对其利润实现造成一定影响。

华泰证券贺琪团队预计,五粮液全年税率可能逐步上行至10%。五粮液表示,白酒业务税负或将呈增长趋势,在一定程度上影响公司经营成果。中原证券则认为,未来一段时间,五粮液高端酒供应将会偏紧,对其进一步提升价格形成支持。

今年8月的一次活动中,五粮液一位高管曾向《每日经济新闻》记者透露,近期其产品销售态势较佳。

调整发货节奏利于提价

五粮液的业绩提升除与市场行情相关外,公司自身的策略变化,也是原因之一。

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