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人民币对美元中间价升逾200个基点 仍需“稳经济”“管流动”
2017-08-29 08:59:03 中国经济网
8月28日,中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布数据显示,人民币对美元中间价报6.6353,较上日的6.6579大幅上调226点,创2016年8月19日来新高。
对此,民生银行首席研究员温彬8月28日在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,此次人民币对美元连续升值与美元走势低迷导致一篮子汇率大幅上行有关。由于对特朗普政策未来方向的不明确,再加上美联储进一步加息缩表带来的不确定性,导致了美国经济数据表现不如意,近期美元指数连续下挫,所以人民币对美元会出现升值的现象。
今年以来,人民币兑美元汇率一改此前贬值趋势,开启了一轮稳中有升的行情。截至8月24日,人民币兑美元汇率较年初升值了4.47%。
“本轮人民币对美元汇率的强势上升是多重因素共同作用的结果。”中国银行总行战略发展部高级研究员周景彤昨日对《证券日报》记者表示,既有来自国内经济运行稳中向好的基本面的支撑,也有美元指数不断走弱、中美利差持续扩大、跨境资本流动管理趋严、中间价形成机制调整等因素的推动。
对于人民币汇率接下来的走势,温彬表示,由于中国经济的基本面对人民币的汇率构成有力支撑,并且,未来一段时间美元的走势很可能还会保持相对低迷的状态,所以人民币对美元应总体保持相对平稳状态。
周景彤认为,在本轮人民币对美元升值的背景下,人民币汇率弹性增强,双向波动特征将更加明显。未来,维持人民币汇率的基本稳定,最根本的还是需要宏观经济的稳定发展作为保障,同时要完善跨境资本流动管理,坚持汇率市场化改革、完善汇率管理模式,维护金融市场稳定。
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