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分散染料价格近1个月涨逾六成 4只概念股或迎上涨机会

2017-08-28 07:22:06   中国经济网

受环保压力等因素影响,绍兴部分染料企业于8月24日再次调价。此次分散黑ECT300%上调报价至40元/公斤,较8月18日市场报价上涨5元/公斤。这也是染料最近一个月内的第四次涨价,自7月27日以来,分散黑ECT300%价格已由涨价前的2.4万元/吨,涨至目前的4万元/吨,不到一个月时间暴涨超过60%。

对此,分析人士指出,在中央环保督查推动下,环保压力持续升级,预计年底前中小染厂关停速度有望加剧。下游方面,今年上半年印染布实现6%的正增长,为染料需求起到重要支撑作用。此外,9月份即将进入印染业的旺季,企业低库存下价格上涨动力更强。在市场供需改善的背景下,行业景气度回暖,相关龙头标的或存交易性机会。

二级市场上,涉及分散染料概念的个股包括浙江龙盛、闰土股份、安诺其、金力泰等4只。从上周五市场表现来看,上述4只概念股中,除金力泰出现微跌外,其余个股全部实现上涨,分别为闰土股份(6.19%)、浙江龙盛(3.9%)和安诺其(3.11%)。

资金流向方面,上周五板块内共有3只概念股呈现大单资金净流入的状态,累计吸金1.73亿元。具体来看,浙江龙盛大单资金净流入居首,达到12693.38万元,闰土股份(3153.13万元)和安诺其(1408.1万元)上周五也均获得超1000万元的大单资金追捧,值得关注。

在分散染料价格持续上涨的背景下,相关上市公司2017年中报业绩表现抢眼。《证券日报》市场研究中心根据同花顺数据统计发现,截至昨日,已披露中报业绩的闰土股份、安诺其、浙江龙盛等3家公司2017年上半年归属于母公司净利润均实现同比增长,分别为52.19%、10.49%、4.83%。其中,闰土股份预计,前三季度实现净利润6亿元-7亿元,同比增长36.20%至58.90%。

对于板块的后市机会,安信证券认为,从近期市场情况看,印染费和染料价格上调频繁且幅度明显加快,染料价格上涨向下游传导。继7月27日和8月3日连续上调价格后,8月18日,分散黑ECT300%的价格从3万元/吨上调至3.5万元/吨,其他分散染料价格上涨0.3万元/吨-0.5万元/吨不等。随着环保监管趋严,同时下游纺织业复苏带来需求增长,预计染料价格将较长时间维持高位。

华泰证券则表示,近期下游涤纶等需求逐步启动,且产品价格阶段性整固充分,分散染料价格具备内在上涨动力;同时,近期供给端收缩使得外购中间体企业(中小产能居多)生产受限,价格边际冲击因素显著减弱,大企业主导能力增强,染料后续提价具备可持续性。建议关注:浙江龙盛、闰土股份、安诺其等龙头标的。

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