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基金“潜伏”三季报业绩预喜股

2017-08-25 07:07:18   中国经济网

随着上市公司2017年中报的披露,一些个股的三季度业绩预告相继出炉。截至8月24日,共有690家公司公布了三季度业绩,其中493家公司业绩预喜,对于其中一些绩优公司,部分公募基金早就潜伏其中。值得注意的是,不少基金经理认为,下半年“自下而上”选股尤为重要,因此三季报业绩成为他们掘金的重要抓手。

潜伏预喜股

财汇金融大数据终端显示,截至8月24日,沪深两市共有690家上市公司公布了三季度业绩预告,有493只个股业绩预喜(包括盈利大幅增加、盈利小幅增加、扭亏为盈、亏损大幅减少和小幅减少),占比71.45%;154家公司预悲(包括亏损增加、出现亏损、盈利减少),占比22.32%;其他43家(包括幅度不定的继续盈利、幅度不定的继续亏损以及不确定情况)。

具体来看,在493家预喜公司中,有193家公司盈利大幅增加,237家公司盈利小幅增加,45家公司扭亏为盈。从基金二季报的持仓来看,在业绩大幅增加的公司中,尤其是一些业绩环比持续增长的个股已经被基金纳为重仓股。基金二季报统计显示,欧菲光(002456)、赣锋锂业(002460)、永辉超市(601933)、跨境通(002640)、丽珠集团(000513)、东方园林(002310)、合力泰(002217)、涪陵榨菜(002507)、诺德股份(600110)等品种均被40只以上的基金所持有,其中欧菲光、东方园林、跨境通、赣锋锂业等个股更是位列二季度基金增持前50大股票名单中。

以欧菲光为例,上半年营收同比增长37.28%,净利润同比增长68.69%,而1-9月份净利润变动幅度预计为80%-120%。截至8月24日,今年以来的股价涨幅达到了46.28%。截至二季度末,共计有212只基金共计持股4.08亿股,占该公司流通A股比例达15.83%。再如涪陵榨菜,上半年营收同比增长30.59%,净利润同比增长48.38%,1-9月净利润变动幅度预计为40%-60%,截至二季度末共有45只基金共计持有9202万股,占流通A股比例为19.79%。不过,从7月28日龙虎榜单看,已经有部分机构选择了获利卖出。

“自下而上”选股尤为重要

一些个股在公布中报和三季度业绩预告后,明显地受到了市场追捧。部分股票在预告日当天甚至直奔涨停。以奋达科技(002681)为例,其8月10日预告前三季度净利润2.8亿-3.3亿元,变动幅度20%-40%,相比上半年的1.3亿元和5.61%的同比增幅明显提速,如果按季度来看,同比、环比均呈向好态势。从8月10日的龙虎榜单也可以看出,买方席位中出现了两席机构,共计买入2179万元。

事实上,不少机构人士认为,下一阶段的结构性机会可能不是板块式的,而是个股式的,因此尤其需要注重个股的深挖。

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