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水泥价格利好频现 有望进入上行周期

2017-08-23 09:21:00   新华网

冬季错峰生产的政策红利尚未临近,水泥价格就已躁动起来,带动相关个股启动上涨。

8月22日开盘,水泥板块大幅飘红,早盘Wind申万水泥制造业19只个股中,仅2只走跌。截至下午收盘,水泥板块整体涨幅有所收窄,同力水泥涨6.05%,华新水泥涨2.87%,金圆股份2.44%。

证券时报·e公司记者多方采访获悉,目前水泥价格高位运行,加之近期环保限产、错峰生产政策不断,未来水泥价格将继续冲击高点。

利好频现

在各项政策影响商品市场供需关系,更直接决定价格走势的当下,22日水泥板块的集体上扬,与政策面利好消息传出有关。

近日中国水泥协会“第六次晋冀鲁豫C12+4会议”在山东枣庄召开。据悉,会议上晋冀鲁豫四省确定,10月1日起C12+4水泥成员企业统一停窑。包括水泥协会、四省建材协会各领导,冀东水泥、同力水泥、山水集团等13家大型水泥企业领导人共同参加了上述会议,并达成共识。据悉,此次会议提出确保效益稳步提升的共同目标,要求坚决执行错峰生产国家产业政策,确保今年行业效益大幅提升。

“10月份正处于旺季,要求停窑的消息十分出乎意料。”对于此次行业协会的新决议,山东地区一不具名水泥行业人士称,9月份到11月份本来就是水泥行业的传统旺季,下游需求旺盛,熟料供应紧张。按照此前国家规定的错峰生产计划,11月15日各地大面积停窑,产能将大幅下降,这个时间段停窑,对于供应造成的紧张情况是不可估量的。

上述人士直言,这种旺季停窑的情况前所未有,行业整体想把水泥价格抬高的意愿明显。

事实上,本次会议中中国水泥协会常务副会长孔祥忠也已明确指出,近两个月时间,能源行业、建材相关行业原材料资源性产品在环保强约束下大幅度涨价,水泥行业必须有组织有体系地统一应对上游原材料涨价压力,形成市场经济价格传导机制。晋冀鲁豫四省必须要确保2017年水泥行业区域效益大幅度提升,要消化上游行业涨价压力。效益提高是去产能工作的基础和保障,利润增长要高于成本增加幅度。

此前,7月26日,中国水泥协会发布了《2020年水泥行业去产能行动计划》,到2020年,行业将压缩熟料产能3.9亿吨,关闭水泥粉磨站企业540家,将上述指标按4年分解得到每年的目标任务。其中,到2017年底,全国范围内压减熟料产能0.388亿吨,压减水泥粉磨站企业90家。

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