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道达投资手记:养老金入市现身中小创 本周沪指再战3300点?

2017-08-21 18:08:45   中国经济网

上周多头显示出了强势的一面。沪指上周强劲反弹,周线收出中阳,一举收复前一周的失地。同时,中小创个股也成为市场关注焦点,本周创业板指数放量大涨4.57%。

更为重要的是,就在上周末,消息面再次传来利好,中报显示,养老金正式出手A股,而且现身两只中小创个股。本周,大盘的强势是否还能延续?中小创个股获养老金账户买入,是否意味着小盘股也将迎来春天?达哥与牛博士就大家关心的问题进行了探讨。

牛博士:上周之所以大盘能够表现如此强劲,是否与混改概念股炒作重燃“战火”有很大关系?

道达:上周初的时候,我曾经在“道达号(微信号:daoda1997)”中,跟大家提示过混改概念股可能会升温。而在上周中,联通混改方案的消息,确实成为市场一个重要的利好消息。虽然此后联通因为一些细节问题,A股和H股都还要停牌,但短期看,混改概念股在上周已经明显走强,成为引领上周大盘反弹的重要因素。而本周,联通很有可能将要复牌交易,如果复牌,那么到时候将再次成为市场焦点,而混改概念股也值得重点关注。

牛博士:上周末有个重要消息值得关注,就是养老金入市了,中报显示,基本养老保险基金八零二组进入九阳股份(002242)和正海磁材(300224)两家公司的前十大流通股股东名单,你对这个消息怎么看?

道达:这当然是个重要利好消息,而且这个消息经过周末的发酵之后,市场热度可能会提升。前一段时间,证金公司买入创业板个股,也引起了创业板的强劲反弹。所以,养老金入市自然也会受到市场高度关注。我个人认为,短期看,养老金账户现身中小创个股,其象征意义更重要一些。毕竟,这是养老金账户首次现身二级市场。而养老金账户,和当年社保基金账户入市一样,都是以谨慎风格著称,这其实也说明一个问题,至少说明当前A股市场是相对安全的。

其次,养老金账户进入中小创个股的前十大流通股股东名单,也是对中小创优质公司的一种肯定。其实,养老金账户和社保基金账户一样,虽然不一定能够催生超级大牛股,但至少说明是相对安全的品种。

不过,对于整个中小创的后市,我不认为是大行情已经来临,我依然看作是超跌反弹而已。随着中报继续披露,不排除养老金账户,或者证金公司账户还会出现在其他中小创个股之中,但越往后走,中小创个股的走势会明显分化,要想整体持续走牛,我认为难度是比较大的。

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