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商品期货全线大涨 周期股走势略逊一筹

2017-08-18 11:04:31   新华网

窄幅回调仅几日后,周期商品再现强势上涨。

8月16日夜盘,国内商品期货便全线启动。沪锌飙至涨停,创10年新高,沪铅、焦煤、铁矿石也涨逾4%。昨日早盘,沪锌主力合约1701一度领涨,后被黑色系商品赶超。截至下午收盘,主力合约中焦煤涨停,涨幅7.97%,焦炭涨6.35%,沪锌涨停持续,报涨6%,铁矿石涨5.62%,沪铅涨5.11%。

受商品市场期货大涨影响,昨日A股铅、锌概念股也涨势凶猛。截至下午收盘,Wind中信铅锌板块12只个股集体上扬。建新矿业、锌业股份涨停,驰宏锌锗涨8.04%,西藏珠峰涨7.84%。

期市涨势如虹,周期股也全面发动上涨,但涨势较前期暴涨已有所收窄。下午收盘时,Wind中信煤炭、有色、钢铁板块分别收获2%、1.83%、1.29%的涨幅。

铅锌成资金炒作标的

“这波铅价上涨比较突然,既没有什么明显的利好因素,市场供应也没有出现偏紧局面。”谈及8月16日夜盘沪铅期货启动大涨,卓创分析师向腾腾认为,上涨主要是产品受到资金追捧,与市场炒作不无关联。

“近期对铅市场影响较明显的还是环保督察,目前再生铅板块产能受限明显。”向腾腾称,8月17日,国内再生铅报价在17700元/吨,而7月中旬报价仅为15500元/吨。铅主要被用于铅酸蓄电池行业,而再生铅即是将废旧电池中的铅提炼出来进行再加工,形成的铅产品与原生铅效果差距不大,但价格相对低廉。不过,目前国内再生铅市场相对落后,小厂缺乏环保设备,因此督察带来的停产影响明显。

不过她表示,再生铅产量在整体铅行业占比较少,因此不会对市场形成过多影响。目前虽然铅需求处于旺季,但整体需求提升并未达此前预期。

近两日涨幅明显的锌,也同样缺少基本面对高价的支撑。

“今天锌市场报价在26400元/吨,5月中旬时仅在22230元/吨,近几月一直处于上涨区间。特别是上周锌价启动回调后,市场本预测价格已经见顶,但不想本周锌价并未按预期下行,这就更激发了炒作热情,目前价格升水依然较高。”卓创锌行业分析师李琳称,这两日锌价大涨,主要是市场心态发酵所致,基本面数据追踪的情况来看,并不支撑价格推升至此。

据悉,近期四川地震,市场曾一度炒作地震对周边锌精矿开采影响较大,但事实上,周边矿区距离震源几百公里,生产并未受过大影响。

此外有消息称,伦锌库存降至25.29万吨,创8年新低,年初以来跌幅高达40.9%。但对于库存超低的说法,市场供需情况也并未有所印证。

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