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6月国内钢铁PMI微幅回落至54.1% 继续处于扩张区间

2017-07-01 13:57:32    新华社

据中物联钢铁物流专业委员会发布的指数报告,6月份国内钢铁行业PMI指数为54.1%,较上月小幅回落0.7个百分点,继续处于扩张区间。

在主要分项指数当中,新订单指数从高位回落2.1个百分点,是影响综合钢铁PMI指数回落的主要原因;生产指数、新出口订单指数均小幅回升,产成品库存指数小幅下降。这些数据信息显示:当前国内钢厂生产仍在加快,需求受季节性因素影响有所回落,但钢厂库存并未明显积压,产销衔接基本正常,行业运行较为平稳。

目前,钢厂生产有所加快。6月份,钢铁行业生产指数为58.6%,较5月份上升0.4个百分点。与生产相关的采购活动则出现一定的缩减,6月份钢铁行业采购量指数为52.3%,较上月降低2.7个百分点;原材料进口指数为50.5%,较上月下降3.2个百分点;原材料库存指数下降2.2个百分点至48%。从这些指数变化来看,由于钢铁企业利润处于高位,钢厂生产积极性进一步提高。但钢厂生产采购活动出现缩减,尤其是原材料库存指数降至收缩区间,可能显示当前钢铁企业原材料库存仍居低位。如果后期要维持较高生产,对原材料将具有较强的补库需求。

钢铁原料成本小幅上升。6月份原材料购进价格指数较上月上涨0.9个百分点,至50.5%,结束了前两月连续位于50%荣枯线以下的状态,表明原料价格在低位有所回升。具体到各原材料品种,价格涨跌不一。6月份,国产钢坯和废钢价格大幅上涨,国产矿价格小幅下跌,焦炭、进口矿价格先跌后涨。“西本新干线”监测数据显示,截至6月29日,品位为62%进口铁矿石普氏指数为每吨63美元,月环比上涨5.6美元。目前,铁矿石供给端过剩的局面较为明显,我国港口铁矿石库存量持续攀升。

相关指数报告认为,当前,国内钢材市场需求维持高位,钢厂利润可观,钢厂生产积极,市场供应也将出现上升。7月份,国内钢材市场将呈供需相持、价格高位整理的走势。(新华社上海7月1日电)

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