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央行公开市场 连续三日“按兵不动”
2017-06-28 10:10:14 经济参考报
原标题:
央行公开市场 连续三日“按兵不动”
央行27日公告称,临近月末财政支出力度加大,对冲央行逆回购到期后银行体系流动性处于较高水平,6月27日不开展公开市场操作。自此,央行公开市场连续三日暂停操作。鉴于当日有100亿元逆回购到期,全天资金小幅净回笼100亿元。
对此,中信证券明明团队表示,央行6月大量资金投放将在7月初集中到期,但结合历史上央行在7月初的货币净投放操作,预期央行仍将维持温和的货币政策,7月仍会小幅净投放流动性,总体看流动性将保持平稳运行。
而业内人士也普遍认为,6月以来市场资金面表现超出预期,较大程度上要归因于央行维稳流动性的系列操作。近期市场明显感受到了央行的善意,货币政策进一步收紧概率下降,但不收紧不代表要放松。即便后续政策趋于放松,也将是一个缓慢过程。
虽年中将至,央行反而减少了流动性投放,直至暂停逆回购操作。数据显示,6月19日,央行OMO仍实现净投放1100亿元,20日,随着逆回购交易量骤降至100亿元,当日OMO实现等额对冲,随后从21日开始到27日为止,央行OMO已连续四个交易日实施净回笼2300亿元。
在季末资金面“意外”宽松、对监管担忧情绪缓解的情形下,债市做多情绪重燃。民生证券研究院院长管清友称,5月以来,债市有回暖迹象,但也难言牛市起点,更可能看到的是债券市场的横盘。等待监管脉冲的后续进展和消化,监管预期完全落地后,经历过一波缩表调整,债市才有新一轮的小趋势的配置价值。
(责编:朱江、伍振国)
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