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联合国粮农组织:全球食品进口费用将大幅提高
2017-06-13 17:36:28 中国经济网
经济日报纽约电 记者朱旌报道:联合国粮食及农业组织日前发布的最新《粮食展望》报告显示,目前全球食品市场虽然供求均衡,但受运输成本和进口量增加影响,今年全球粮食进口费用将大幅提高,其中最不发达国家、低收入缺粮国和撒哈拉以南非洲国家的粮食进口费用上涨趋势不容乐观。
联合国粮农组织经济学家普拉卡什指出,尽管区域或国家间可能存在差异,但在全球范围内,所有食品的供应状况良好、市场供求均衡。报告指出,除鱼类食品之外,几乎所有类别食品进口费用今年预计都将提高,增幅约为10.6%。由于肉类、食糖、奶类和油籽产品的进口量增加,最不发达国家、低收入缺粮国和撒哈拉以南非洲国家的粮食进口费用上涨趋势更为明显。同时,5月份全球食品价格出现了3个月以来的首次上涨,最新的粮农组织食品价格指数比4月份和去年同期分别提高了2.2%和10%。除食糖外所有类别食品5月份的报价均出现了上涨。
报告预测,国际小麦价格上半年将保持稳定,接近创历史水平的粗粮产量可能加剧主要出口国之间的竞争。预计大米供应也将保持充裕,但一些出口国减持公共储备可能导致库存量下降。此外,2016/2017年度世界油料籽产量预计将飙升至历史新高,主要原因是大豆产量较为突出,全球库存得到进一步补充。初步迹象表明,明后两年的市场供应也将保持充足,可能对价格形成进一步打压。与此同时,在印度奶类生产迅速扩大的带动下,今年全球奶制品产量预计将增长1.4%。
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