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观望情绪蔓延 北京二手住宅成交量降至27个月来最低点

2017-06-02 09:56:03   北京日报

5月的最后一天,房屋中介经纪人小陈的业绩表里写着:成交零单。其实,他所在的门店这个月总共也只成交了1单。

成交量只是中介考核指标的其中一项。让他更担忧的是,在新增客户量、电话咨询量等前期指标上,都出现了急剧下降。

北京“史上最严调控”迈入第三个月。数据显示,今年5月,京城二手住宅签约量仅为1.08万套左右,是近27个月以来的最低值;价格方面,部分着急出售的房源价格动辄跳水几百万元,部分区域中介成交均价降幅超2成。

月成交1万套面临温转冷

经纪人一个月“零成交”的现象正在多个区域上演。5月,北京二手房成交量1.08万套左右,环比4月的1.69万套下跌了近4成。

根据中原地产的统计数据,过去27个月,北京二手房成交量最高点出现在去年3月,达到3.2万套;直接与今年5月这一最低点差出2万多套房,也让北京二手房成交量回归到1万套边缘。

“1万套的成交量是北京二手房市场的分水岭。”亚豪机构市场总监郭毅说,如果维持在1万套以上,市场还算相对温和,能支撑众多经纪机构的生存;但如果跌至1万套以下,则意味着市场转冷。此前是由热转温,而现在则正处在由温转冷的时期。

上一次北京二手房处在1万套成交量的边缘,还是两年多前的事情。“从目前情况看,北京二手房成交量在下月跌破1万套是大概率事件。”郭毅说,面对“史上最严的调控政策”,首付比抬高,挤走炒房人群,交易需求大幅减少。

对小陈等中介经纪人而言,也感受着成交数字以外的“降温”,即高价房不让挂牌,房源量正在减少,即使有买家,也不愿轻易出手。

记者从北京我爱我家方面获得的数据显示,5月通过其达成的二手房交易中,房源平均被看次数连续增加、客户平均看房次数上升,代表着二手房的交易节奏大幅放缓。

1340万元三居室月跳水240万

在链家网站上,海淀西北旺一套135平方米的三居室正以1250万元的价格叫卖。网站信息显示,该房源在“3·17新政”出台一周前入市。“入市时的报价是1340万元。”链家一位经纪人出示了该房源的调价记录:“3·17新政”后,该房源经历过两次下调,最终降到1250万元。

“不过,业主近期已经给出了底价,1100万元就能成交。”该经纪人说。照此来看,在两个月的时间内,该房源出现了大约240万元的下调。据悉,首付门槛抬高,是这套房子频频降价的重要原因。“3·17新政”后,该房源的实际首付已经飙升。

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