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端午假期北京楼市成交骤降 专家:年内低迷难现转机

2017-06-01 11:56:25   

业内人士称,在楼市深度调控下,市场的整体热度将从过去的一线、二线城市转移到三线、四线城市

在“限购”“限贷”“限价”“限售”“限商”并用的“五限时代”下,“端午”楼市表现极为冷清。亚豪君岳会统计数据显示,2017年端午小长假(5月28日至5月30日)北京商品住宅(不含保障房、自住房、商办)仅实现成交48套,成交面积0.84万平方米,环比“五一”小长假分别减少64%、47%,同比去年端午小长假分别减少78%、73%,同时这一成交量也创下历史同期新低。

“在楼市调控政策制约下,特别是购房首付比例的提高以及购房资格限定等要求,与之前相比均有明显提升。在这样的背景下,无论是期房还是二手房市场,其需求均处在一个逐步下滑的状态。”亚豪机构市场总监郭毅对《证券日报》记者表示,整体来看,全国范围内的楼市政策收紧趋势仍在延续,而“候补”政策也依然充裕,预计年内楼市的低迷状况难现转机。

记者从国家统计局4月份发布的70个大中城市房价数据了解到,目前在调控政策收紧的压力下,楼市已出现明显分化。一方面是热点城市降温明显。其中15个一线城市和部分热点二线城市新建商品住宅价格同比涨幅全部回落;另一方面是非重点调控的二线、三线城市领涨。其中26个城市房价环比涨幅超过1%,3个城市涨幅超2%。

对此,中原地产首席分析师张大伟告诉《证券日报》记者,造成“一线城市房价明显降温,二线城市房价逐渐平稳,三线城市房价有所上升”的主要原因是,在楼市深度调控下,一线、二线城市进入全面调控周期,受此影响,投资需求外泄并进入到一些此前涨幅较低的城市中。从后期市场发展来看,预计还会有更多的城市加入到调控范围内。此外,在当前市场分化的基础下,部分房价涨幅过快的城市,或继续出台楼市收紧政策。

张大伟分析称,从当前土地市场的整体情况来看,主要表现为以下几个特点:一是大部分城市平均溢价率相比2016年有所下调,在一系列约束性政策下,地王出现数量有所减少;二是土地市场分化态势明显;三是房企拿地开始集中在部分围绕一线、二线热点城市的三线、四线城市。

张大伟预计,市场的整体热度将从过去的一线、二线城市转移到三线、四线城市。见习记者 杜雨萌

(责编:王子侯、杨曦)

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