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易到获牌照扫除融资障碍 传最新估值490亿

2017-05-10 13:06:22   中国经济网

雨后现虹,易到好事来了。

5月8日,易到宣布获得《网络预约出租汽车经营许可证》。这是北京市向民营网约车平台、也是C2C平台发放的首张网约车牌照。

于此,外界解读为:易到一扫此前舆论阴霾,步入正常运行,融资障碍也得以扫除。

同时,关于易到估值的讨论再次搬出台面。

此前,易到一直被外界以乐视控股时的10亿美元进行估值。受舆论及资金短缺影响,投资机构一直对易到持观望态度。

目前国内网约车的头部企业里,滴滴以500亿美元估值为第一梯队,神州优车的400亿元估值为第二梯队,易到、首汽约车以10亿美元估值为第三梯队。

在投资界,一方认为像滴滴这种规模优势明显,自然是高估值,赢家通吃,只投第一、不投第二。另一种说法是,网约车容量足以容下多头并进,而且滴滴的投资门槛已经非常高,应加持第二阵营。

太贵了!是投资界对滴滴的一致看法。摊开滴滴的融资簿,也只有BAT、淡马锡、苹果这类金主,近一轮更是只剩招行、交行这种国家资本进驻,投资门槛之高可见一斑。易到收获网约车牌照,可以说给投资界带来一道曙光。

“易到是个不错标的,还没炒起来,用户和车辆都比较高端,规模有上升空间,又刚刚收获了北京的网约车牌照,应该会迎来一波融资。” 有基金投融资部门负责人表示,“至于10亿美元还是前年时候估值,这个参考意义不大,这行业估值基本半年翻一番。”

那么,目前易到的估值究竟有几何?

艾瑞统计的易到用户仍旧保持活跃。易到一季度的月用户规模达到442万人次,紧跟滴滴,保持行业第二。从中高消费用户占比来看,易到中高消费水平用户占比达90.7%。

有接近易到投融资事务的人士透漏,“易到去年主营业务收入52亿元,全年总订单量1.7亿单,全年亏损与神州优车相当。”

据神州优车年报披露,去年专车收入51亿元,全年总订单量约1亿单,全年亏损37亿元左右。

易到和神州优车分别是轻资产和重资产模式,从P/S来看,神州优车的P/S在8倍左右,易到如果按照10亿美元估值,易到P/S在1倍多,显然还有巨大的投资空间,如果按照8倍的P/S,实际估值应在神州的400亿元之上。

而如果按照滴滴的投资逻辑,从GMV来看,易到的估值那就非常高了。

从GMV来看,易到去年1.7亿单,均价大概60元左右,创造GMV应该是102亿元左右。滴滴(包含Uber中国)日平均单量约1200万单,包含快车、出租在内约20元的每单均价,GMV约为880亿元左右,是易到的7倍。所以依照目前滴滴500亿美元的估值逻辑,易到估值应在71亿美元左右,约490亿元。

一段时间来,这个起步最早的网约车平台被撵上了舆论尖口,甚至被冠以了“激进的生死论。”直到收获网约车运营牌照击碎传言,而这恰是易到融资的最大障碍。接下来,如果易到收获融资进行反扑,依然会是滴滴的最大竞争对手。

(责编:庄红韬、赵爽)

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