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热点分散反弹乏力成交萎缩

2017-09-14 09:17:49   中国经济网

盘面热点多但较为分散

盘面上,钢铁、煤炭、酿酒、水泥建材、页岩气、次新股、基因测序、生态农业、雄安新区、锂电池等涨幅居前。券商信托、保险、银行等小幅调整,午后止跌回升带动指数走高。

早盘,乙醇概念股受利好刺激下走强,龙力生物涨停,中粮生化、海南椰岛、皖维高新等均有不错表现。煤炭股早盘表现强势,云煤能源涨停,金能科技、昊华能源、露天煤业、安泰集团等涨幅居前。午后,钢铁股走强,柳钢股份涨停,凌钢股份、新钢股份、方大特钢、太钢不锈等涨幅居前。酿酒板块延续强势,酒鬼酒、沱牌舍得、山西汾酒、伊力特、泸州老窖、水井坊、口子窖、金徽酒等涨幅居前。

消息面上,国务院发文力挺山西省国企改革。业内人士认为,此次国务院发文敦促地方国企改革,预计后续全国范围内的地方国企改革进程将明显提速。

倚天投资总经理叶飞指出,周三是第12个震荡交易日。盘面上看热点多但比较分散,预计市场将继续维持“指数搭台,个股唱戏”的局面。

巨丰投顾分析师认为,目前新能源汽车主题退潮,钢铁、酿酒、煤炭等二线蓝筹难以推动指数。操作上,建议投资者重点关注有业绩支撑的底部小市值品种,尤其是景气度高涨的行业。

指数缓慢运行将是主基调

对于后市,业内认为,此轮反弹行情演绎至今,影响A股走势的内外因素仍旧继续向好,大盘中期震荡走高态势不变。短期内,随着市场中枢的逐步上移,以及中小创补涨动能的持续释放,资金获利回吐的压力将会逐步加大。但目前看,回调的时间及空间将不会很大,更多或以日内盘中的震荡来对上方的压力进行消化。

中航证券分析师樊波指出,热点轮动加速是股票规模变大之后的必然选择,因为永远会有更新的股票出来。理论上机会变多了,但同时也凸显出一些问题:散户投资者选股难度将明显加大,对于这种状态最好的方式就是不能来回频繁换股。

樊波指出,由于主力资金选择面更广,所以所以建议投资者还是要着重对板块或个股基本面的研究,再结合题材和技术面进行具体的买卖。而热点方面,锂电池经过周二的震荡之后,周三再度活跃,体现出主题投资强势的一面。总之,不要指望指数有太大的波动,这是未来市场的主要运行节奏,在投资过程中筛选基本面优秀,并且主营业务收入及利润大幅增长的品种是较为安全和理想的选择。

银河证券研报指出,短期突破3400点的难度在增大。展望后市,目前市场仍处于风险偏好不断提升的阶段,不乏赚钱的热点,在当前经济平稳增长、市场整体估值不高背景下,股指中线趋势并未走弱,整固后仍有进一步上行机会。但短期来看,由于大盘连续高位横盘,投资者需提防指数出现久盘必跌,预计沪指仍需蓄势以修复技术指标,短期突破3400的难度在增大。

华泰证券研报建议关注国企改革、AI、次新股。对于市场火热的新能源和周期板块,有持仓的客户大多倾向于继续持有部分头寸,观察板块的变化。未有持仓的等待调整下来的机会,对于大盘认为突破3300倾向于战略看多,观察市场成交量和板块轮动。客户关注较多的有银行、保险、白酒、环保、电子、传媒等,主题关注国企改革、AI、次新。

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