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8月份CPI涨幅创7个月新高 未来涨幅还会扩大吗?

2017-09-09 14:11:39   中国经济网

中新网北京9月9日电(记者 李金磊)国家统计局今日公布的数据显示,8月份CPI同比上涨1.8%,涨幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点,创下7个月新高。分析认为,虽然物价涨幅有所扩大,但总体仍处于低位运行,全年通胀压力不大。

CPI同比涨幅走势图。来自国家统计局

CPI涨幅创下7个月新高

数据显示,8月份CPI同比上涨1.8%,涨幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点。记者注意到,CPI涨幅创下自今年2月份以来的新高。

中国人民大学财政金融学院副院长赵锡军对中新网记者表示,8月份CPI同比涨幅出现回升,主要受蔬菜等价格上涨较多影响。

具体数据显示,8月份鲜菜价格上涨9.7%,影响CPI上涨约0.22个百分点。非食品价格上涨2.3%,涨幅扩大0.3个百分点,影响CPI上涨约1.81个百分点。

赵锡军表示,虽然8月份物价涨幅有所扩大,但仍低于2%,表明当前物价仍处于温和上涨的态势。

山西太原民众在超市选购蔬菜。 张云 摄

预计全年通胀压力不大

8月份物价涨幅创出新高,那么,未来几个月,物价涨幅会否继续扩大?

赵锡军认为,当前总需求平稳,虽然受天气和季节性因素影响,一些农产品价格可能有所波动,但总体来看,物价缺乏大幅上涨的基础。

交通银行首席经济学家连平认为,物价短期回升主要是受天气影响,并不会影响物价的整体运行趋势,全年通胀压力不大。预计下半年CPI同比涨幅可能会略低于上半年。

需要注意的是,蔬菜等价格的上涨仍需关注。据商务部监测,8月28日至9月3日,食用农产品和生产资料价格继续回升。30种蔬菜平均价格比前一周上涨1.8%,其中黄瓜、生菜、菜花价格分别上涨19.5%、8%和5.4%。(完)

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