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专家:经济务实合作是金砖国家头十年快速发展的重要因素
国际在线报道(记者 屈功泽):金砖国家领导人第九次会晤4日在中国厦门举行,中国国家主席习近平在会议开幕式上的致辞以及会晤所通过的《厦门宣言》成为了全世界舆论聚焦的热点。专家认为,习主席为金砖合作开启未来“金色十年”提出了具体建议,即务实合作释放金砖国家经济潜力,积极参与全球治理。
中国国际问题研究院副院长郭宪纲认为,经济上的务实合作是金砖国家在头十年得以快速发展的一个重要因素。习主席在讲话中也指出了金砖机制发展的原因是各国在走适合自身国情道路的背景下,能够携手互尊互助。因此,务实合作这样宝贵的经验应该在下一个十年里被金砖国家继续贯彻实施。“对于金砖国家今后的十年来讲,头十年合作的经验是非常宝贵的。所谓的务实合作,我个人认为就是要与时俱进,也就是说为了金砖国家的合作,要根据形势的变化,对经济结构要进行改革,要发挥一种创新、引领的作用。这样的话才能使金砖的合作上一个新的台阶。”
务实合作这一点也是《厦门宣言》中的重要内容。中国人民大学重阳金融研究院执行院长王文表示,宣言内容中提到贸易投资合作有助于释放金砖国家经济潜力,这也是促使金砖国家能够走得更远的原因。“金砖的潜力还没有完全发挥出来,最主要的一点就是在贸易投资上。一个就是相互的投资额仍然是非常少的,仅有6%左右是发生在五国之间的;贸易同样如此,各国之间对外的贸易,仅有六分之一左右是发生在五国之间的。那么这样的一个低比例,与金砖五国占有的全世界25%的经济总量和将近一半的人口总量是完全不符合的。实际上是可以挖掘的潜力点。有了这样更深的经济合作,金砖才能走得更远。”
在4号的会议上,习主席提出,金砖五国要参与解决许多重大紧迫的全球性问题,以维护这些国家的共同利益。郭宪纲认为,发展战略对接这一点,是金砖国际在未来发展中面临的紧迫需要。只有战略对接,才能使金砖国家能够发挥的国际影响成倍增长。这也与《厦门宣言》中提到金砖国家要积极参与全球治理有着密切的关系。“在过去十年中,金砖国家在战略上的对接,也做了一定的工作,但是还远远不够。那么把它对接起来,形成一个大的金砖国家的战略,这对促进金砖国家的发展使非常有利的。对于未来金砖国家在参与全球治理方面,作用是非常重大的。因为金砖国家能用一个比较统一的声音,统一的战略发声。那么在全球治理上,它的作用就不是一加一,而是二乘二、或者三乘三这样几何级数的增长。”
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