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炼厂重启缓解忧虑,多头反击美油两连阳

2017-09-02 09:06:07   中国经济网

汇通网9月2日讯——美国WTI 10月原油期货电子盘价格周五(9月1日)收盘上涨0.26美元,涨幅0.55%,报47.35美元/桶;油价收复了早盘时段的失地,因飓风哈维而停产的部分位于墨西哥湾沿岸的炼厂重新启动,缓解了投资者对燃料短缺的担忧情绪。

与此同时,ICE布伦特11月原油期货电子盘价格收盘下跌0.08美元,跌幅0.15%,报52.69美元/桶。本周,布伦特原油涨0.65%,美国原油跌1.25%。

(上图为美国WTI 10月原油期货价格日内分时图,图上时间为美国东部时间;图片来源:汇通财经)

(上图为美国WTI 10月原油期货价格最近一年的日线蜡烛图,图上时间为美国东部时间;图片来源:汇通财经)

炼厂恢复生产缓解忧虑

哈维降级为热带风暴,在侵入内陆时势头有所减弱,风暴导致逾40人死亡,并带来有史以来最大的洪灾,致使至少440万桶/日炼油产能关闭。

大约四分之一的美国炼油业关停,在劳动节周末前激发了对燃料油供应短缺的担忧,也令炼厂对原油的需求蒙上阴云。裂解价差,即汽油和原油价差走阔。

周四,美国汽油价格升至两年高位的2美元/加仑之上,周五,因两个炼厂开始恢复生产,部分港口重新开放,汽油期货下跌2%,裂解价差下跌逾5%。

分析师称,直到炼油行业前景明朗前,油价都会上下拉锯。

能源对冲基金Again Capital合伙人John Kilduff称,对消费者来说的好消息是,一些工厂正在恢复运营的过程中。我们将继续评估炼油行业,它们在哈维风暴后恢复的能力。

消息人士告诉路透,马拉松石油公司在德克萨斯城的加尔维斯敦炼厂已经将产量提高至日产能45.9万桶的45%。

Citgo Petroleum称,将重开日产能15.7万桶的德州Corpus Christi炼厂。

美国政府五年来首次动用了战略原油储备,周五授权额外释放350万桶原油,此前已经释放了100万桶原油,提供给路易斯安那州的一个炼厂。

原油库存大降+石油钻井数持平对油价形成支撑

周三EIA公布数据显示,美国原油库存大幅下降540万桶。美国库存数据应该会刺激OPEC与非OPEC产油国限制供应以提振油价,当前油价仅相当于三年前的一半。

不过,若美国原油产量恢复,油市再平衡可能会比预期所需更长时间。

三菱集团石油风险经理Tony Nunan表示,原油产量恢复要快于炼厂,若无法及时消化产出的原油,供应过剩的情况将会恶化。

周五公布的贝克休斯数据显示,美国截至9月1日当周石油钻井数与8月26日当周持平,维持在759口,但较一年前增加了352口。

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