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牛市垂直价差策略为宜

2017-08-29 10:12:00   中国经济网

周一上证综指高开高走,稳步上行,尾盘报收于3362.65点,收涨0.93%,续创20个月新高。两市成交量6408.4亿元,增加1746.3亿元,放量上行。各大指数普涨,创业板指数领涨,涨幅1.65%,且创近四个月新高,上证50指数也创逾两年新高,技术慢牛特征显著。盘面看,非银行金融、有色金属、计算机等行业板块领涨,银行和食品饮料板块涨幅较小。从概念板块来看,次新股概念板块领涨,板块内超过20只个股涨停。值得注意的是,人工智能概念板块冲高回落,龙头股科大讯飞闪崩,收盘下跌6.57%,换手率高达16.35%。期指方面,三大期指涨幅接近。标的资产方面,50ETF跳空高开,尾盘报收于2.788,涨幅1.12%,成交量增至555.48万手,增加65.48万手。

标的资产30日历史波动率13.69%,平稳抬升。期权隐含波动率也呈现小幅抬升之势,两者差异缩小。认购期权隐含波动率增速较快。平值期权方面,50ETF购9月2.80期权的隐含波动率为14.41%,较上一交易日增加0.49个百分点;50ETF沽9月2.80期权的隐含波动率为14.43%,增加0.92个百分点。

图为9月平值期权隐含波动率变动

因标的资产50ETF价格大幅上涨,认购期权价格全线上涨,而认沽期权价格全线下跌,认购期权价格涨幅较大也部分得益于隐含波动率的抬升。9月平值认购合约“50ETF购9月2.80”报收于0.0447,上涨43.73%;9月平值认沽合约“50ETF沽9月2.80”报收于0.0489,下跌23.95%。

综合来看,标的资产50ETF放量上行,慢牛形态显著。从技术上看,50ETF跳空高开,形成一个跳空缺口,尾盘报收带长上影线中阳线,仍需时间整固上攻行情。期权策略方面,投资者仍可以采取牛市垂直价差策略,逢低布局参与慢牛行情。

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