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《大国战略》:世界大变局下中国如何布局
2017-08-13 06:56:57 中国青年网
在世界大变局下,中国也面临着世界性的机遇和挑战,周边安全问题、国家安全问题、中美关系问题、中日关系、海洋问题、台湾问题……这些都是中国必须直面且不能回避的问题。中国该如何在国家层面上作出战略性布局?毫无疑问,我们只有熟悉历史的来龙去脉,自足当下,才能更好地应对未来。为此,中国军事文化讲坛邀请军内外一流的专家学者和社会精英,金一南、乔良、徐焰、赵丕、王在希、吕耀东、贾宇、舒健等名家,共同诠释世界大变局下的国家战略,大家共同关注世界风云,强化民众的国家意识、忧患意识、责任意识和爱国精神、进取精神、尚武精神,为国家决策的选择作出思考。
金一南认为,关于国家安全战略的若干问题,主要从三个方面考量:国家与国家安全、国家安全战略提出与筹划、安全战略中的塑造和威慑。国家安全绝不简单是一个政治概念,尤其对中国来说,对中华民族来说,它的深刻性我们必须牢牢记住。安全战略为保障发展战略的实现而存在,国家发展对国家安全产生制约,有什么样的发展战略,就有什么样的安全战略。今后十年到二十年是决定中国能否进入发达国家序列的关键时间段。中国模式、中国道路,绝不仅仅是经济发展的道路,必然是在力量与善意结合的基础上能够有效保障国家安全的模式。只有这样,中国特色社会主义道路才是真正可持续的、科学的,才能够最终完成民族复兴大业。
国家海洋局海洋发展战略研究所副所长贾宇提出了中国海洋发展战略面临的机遇和挑战,提出海洋是人类生存发展的源泉,科技的进步使人类对海洋的认识不断全面和深化,海洋对人类社会的作用和价值逐步向多元化方向发展。海洋事务是国际事务的重要领域,海洋问题是国家发展的战略问题。开发和利用海洋是世界强国发展的必由之路,海洋战略决定着国家海洋事业的兴衰成败。
乔良提出了美国东移与中国西进——中美博弈与中国“一带一路”大战略,乔良认为世界上的各种国际关系中,中美关系是世界上最重要的国际关系之一。当今影响塑造和改变这个世界的,实际上是两大力量在推动它,这两大力量可以说是一种心理的力量,一个就是美国对自己衰落的担心,一个就是对中国崛起的渴望。这两大心理力量正在推动这个世界向前走,可以说这是一种博弈。 (刘冰 整理)
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