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交银中国财富景气指数创两年新高

2017-08-07 17:10:55   央广网

央广网上海8月7日消息(记者吴善阳)交通银行在上海发布42期《交银中国财富景气指数报告》显示,在经济增长总体平稳、出口形势改善、物价温和的宏观环境下,交银中国财富景气指数保持年初以来的波动上行趋势,继续上涨5个百分点,达到140点,创出两年以来新高。各一级指标差不多同步上涨。其中,投资意愿指数上涨6个百分点;经济景气指数和收入增长指数分别上涨5个百分点。分区域看,全国各地区受访小康家庭对财富景气乐观程度普遍提升。

一、小康家庭经济景气信心创2015年以来新高

二、投资收益拉动小康家庭收入增长

本期收入增长指数为152点,比上期上升5个百分点。受访家庭投资收益的改善是带动收入增长的主要因素。

本期投资收益上升6个百分点,至149点。其中,现在投资收益指数上升6个百分点,预期投资收益指数上升5个百分点。年初伴随去杠杆和监管政策收紧推进,资金面一度偏紧,流动性风险有所增加。此后,央行在《2017年一季度中国货币政策执行报告》中明确表示,未来将把握好去杠杆和维护流动性基本稳定的平衡,助力市场流动性的提升。7月上证综指重回3200点以上,使得小康家庭投资收益有所改善。分投资产品种类看,得益于股市回暖,股票、基金收益指数比上期升幅明显。

本期家庭财务状况指数155点,较上期有所改善。从收入来看,本期预期家庭收入变化上升6个百分点,现在家庭收入变化上升3个百分点。财产性收入在家庭收入变化中的影响力在加强。本期52%的受访家庭认为财产性收入是影响现在家庭收入增加的主要原因;57%的受访家庭预期财产性收入将是影响未来家庭收入变化的主要原因。从支出来看,与上期相比,受访家庭支出上升了2个百分点,但食品支持有所减少。6月食品类CPI下降1%,主要是受到鲜活食品下降的影响,可能是导致本期食品支出减少的原因之一。此外,由于临近开学,教育类支出增长,带动小康家庭未来家庭支出增长3个百分点。

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