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央广《王冠红人馆》财经报告:全国开启高温模式,“避暑经济”如何借势营销?

2017-08-04 15:01:30   央广网

央广网8月4日消息 7月10日以来,我国南方出现持续高温天气,范围逐渐扩大。中央气象台7日开始发布高温预警,截至7月27日,已连续发布21天。全国已有97个县市最高气温达到或超过40℃,19个县市突破历史极值,江浙沪地区尤为明显。防暑措施都有哪些?如何给予高温从业人员更多的保护?各省的避暑招牌怎样打好?气象预告的大数据服务有何发展趋势?央广《王冠红人馆》为您深度解析高温"炙烤"模式下,大家如何见招拆招。

 一、聚焦--"烧烤"模式开启,煤价趋于强势

7月10日以来,南方出现持续高温天气,范围逐渐扩大。中央气象台7日开始发布高温预警,截至27日,已连续发布21天。全国已有97个县市最高气温达到或超过40℃,19个县市突破历史极值,江浙沪地区尤为明显。

国家气象中心工程师陈双介绍,这轮高温天气的主要特点是持续时间长、影响范围广、极端性强,开始时间较往年偏早。他认为,造成此次南方大范围高温天气的"罪魁祸首"就是西太平洋副热带高压(简称副高),这次高温比较严重的上海、苏南、浙北等地刚好就处在这个天气系统的中心附近。另外,由于空气在下沉过程中会伴随增温现象,也在一定程度上造成副高控制区域容易产生高温天气。

当然,不只是南方,今年我国南北都出现了极端高温过程。专家解释,前期北方出现高温,是北方大陆高压强盛所致。此外,根据现有的气候归因研究,很多极端高温事件中,除了自然气候态的作用,气候变暖也是一大影响因素。1961年至2015年,长江中下游高温日数呈增多趋势,增多速率为每10年0.7天。

近期,由于全国大部分地区持续高温,导致电力需求不断上行,国家电网和南方电网发布的数据显示,截至25日零时,全国单日最高发电量达17.53亿千瓦时,已六次突破往年极值。北京、广东、上海、江苏、安徽、湖南、辽宁、新疆等24个省级电网用电负荷创历史新高。用电量如此之高,一方面说明我国整个工业生产较为活跃,另一方面也与大家夏天吹空调纳凉有很大的关系。

在市场用电量大幅提升的背景下,国内大部分电厂煤炭库存下降明显,煤炭价格趋于强势。部分内陆电厂煤炭库存已经逼近安全线,提前开始月底采购,但由于前期采购压价现象较多,电厂接收价格大幅上涨,涨幅在30元/吨-50元/吨左右。

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