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日本内阁大换血:开始怀旧的安倍还能走多远?

2017-08-04 13:37:17   国际在线

安倍新内阁

据日媒报道,安倍目前支持率已跌破30%,至历史新低。面对政治危机,8月3日上午,安倍对自民党领导班子成员进行人事任命后重组内阁,同时宣布内阁成员名单,随后召开记者发布会。

值得一提的是,这是自2012年安倍上任后进行的第四次内阁重组,与前三次内阁调整相比, 2017年内阁大换血大概有如下几个特点:

一是动作大,范围广。2012年12月,安倍领导的自民党在众议院选举中获胜,时隔3年多后重新夺回政权。2014年9月3日,安倍首次改组内阁,18名内阁阁僚中,6名主要阁僚留任。2015年10月7日,安倍第二次宣布改组内阁,19名内阁大臣中,9名核心大臣留任。2016年8月3日,安倍再次改组内阁,19名阁僚中,8名主要阁僚留任。2017年8月3日,安倍再次改组,19名阁僚中,仅仅5名主要阁僚留任。

数据显而易见,2017年安倍新内阁中选择留任5人留任,14名幕僚离开,人事调整涉及日本国内外经济、军事、外交、文化、教育等多项重要领域,其调整力度之大,涉及范围之广,远超前三次,堪称安倍上任后动作最大的一次政治洗牌。

面对丑闻不断、民调急跌、竞争激烈的残酷现实,安倍急需通过本次内阁重组制造影响,重整旗鼓,迅速摆脱当下的信任危机,试图挽回日渐下降的民众支持率,最终目的是为在未来大选中寻求连任。

二是动机未改,野心犹在。2014年,为削减党内不满情绪,增强凝聚力,并期望以此拉动内阁在日本民众中的支持率,安倍选择重组内阁。2015年,安倍在国会强行通过的安保系列法案,严重伤害了民意,民众支持率急剧下滑,为转移国内民众注意力,保持政权稳定,对人事进行微调。2016年,为加快推进“安倍经济学”’,刺激日本经济,保证民众支持率,安倍再次选择主动求变。

2017年东京都议会选举后,安倍支持率迅速下跌,政权处于风雨飘摇之中,面对民众质疑,在野党的攻击,安倍别无选择,主动求变,进行任职以来动作最大的内阁重组纯属意料之中。

纵观安倍五年来四次内阁重组的原始动机,无外乎摆脱政治危机,延续政策的稳定性,保持民众支持率,推动“安倍经济学”,加快内阁改组频率,不断在国内制造更大影响,使其成为试图转移国内民众媒体注意力,缓解政治危机,寻求连任野心的不二法宝。

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