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“特普通话”能否解冻美俄关系?舆论认为阻力重重

2017-05-04 13:42:05   环球时报

资料图:1月28日特朗普在白宫与普京通电话

【环球时报综合报道】美国导弹袭击叙利亚空军基地后,普京怒斥美国“把戏很无聊”,特朗普则称美俄关系正处于“历史最低点”。这次,美国白宫和俄罗斯克里姆林宫都宣称会谈“非常顺畅”和“具有建设性”,但这次通话真的释放了美俄关系“解冻”的信号吗?

“普京和特朗普会和好吗?”美国《石板》杂志的报道这样问道。该报道称,仔细审视特朗普与普京的关系,到目前为止几乎找不到证据表明两国关系得到了改善。美国仍然维持对俄罗斯的制裁,俄罗斯媒体则把特朗普描绘成“易冲动、太危险”,而且特朗普上个月突然改变了美国在叙利亚问题上的立场,下令发射导弹袭击叙利亚空军基地。

《纽约时报》称,特朗普与普京这次通话的目的只是为了把过去几周来的不快尽快翻过去。特朗普上台时赞扬普京,把与莫斯科建立更加密切关系作为优先任务,但是他的目标被俄罗斯卷入美国大选的多项调查以及双方在叙利亚化武事件上的冲突所干扰。他最初对双边关系抱有的乐观让位于不稳定的情绪,地缘政治重心也把特朗普和普京朝着相反的方向拉,这降低了人们的期望。现在,两位领导人显然意在找到一些他们能够进行合作的领域和一些虽然不能合作但能进行管控的领域,不过,知名外交政策分析家都认为,莫斯科的氛围“仍然是希望、失望和谨慎并存”,“他们理解特朗普政府在国际社会上的行事方式,认为特朗普政府在本质上仍具有不可预测性和单边性”。

美国《大西洋月刊》网站称,特朗普与普京两人之间的第三次通话,对于那些跟踪“特朗普普京舞蹈”的人来说,这是“两人长期以来的风流韵事中的又一个约会日子”。然而对俄罗斯来说,现实看起来更加令人沮丧。在莫斯科,关于特朗普引领建立俄美和谐关系新时代的“希望已经破灭”了。

许多俄罗斯学者对俄美关系期望并不高。俄联邦新闻网3日引述俄全球化和社会运动中心学者科尔塔绍夫的话称,在当前形势下,不必期待俄美两国总统通过一次电话交谈就能对双方存在的分歧产生立竿见影的效果。普京能够就中东问题做出重大决定,而特朗普无法自己做出决定。如果他迎合了俄罗斯,那么就会在国会造成紧张局势。特朗普做决定必须得符合国会鹰派的要求。目前特朗普还没有任何与俄改善关系的计划。

俄新社3日引述俄《国防》杂志主编科罗特琴科的话称,莫斯科不应对美国在调解叙利亚和朝鲜问题上的政策抱任何幻想,两个大国的目标是不同的。美国的外交政策目标是统治整个世界。这只是两国总统的普通通话,因此,它不可能对美国的外交决定产生任何影响,包括美国在叙利亚和朝鲜半岛的军事计划。特朗普已决定增加军事预算和提高军力,因此,只有俄罗斯大幅提高自己的军力,才能让美国与俄罗斯进行平等对话。

【环球时报驻俄罗斯、德国、加拿大特约记者 王斌 青木 陶短房 柳玉鹏 陈一】

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