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联通引爆混改概念 “炒地图”一触即发

2017-08-22 07:40:39   中国经济网

记者 王朱莹

自从混改方案落地之后,中国联通早已在投资者脑海中“意念涨停”无数次了。8月21日,该股复牌跳空涨停在意料之中,业内人士纷纷推测该股后续还会有2-3个涨停。同时,联通混改方案的出台意味着混改进入加快推进阶段,“炒地图”行情有望重现。

一石激起千层浪

自2017年4月1日停牌的中国联通,因混改方案落地,8月21日复牌首日跳空一字涨停,收报8.22元,成交1.79亿元。

不仅中国联通大受资金追捧,战略投资者的相关股票也有所表现。公司公告称,腾讯、百度、京东、阿里巴巴、中国人寿均参与投资。除以上企业外,苏宁、滴滴、中国中车、网宿科技、用友、宜通世纪等也参与投资。其中宜通世纪昨日同样涨停,用友网络和网宿科技涨幅逾6%。

中国联通涨停板上封单量一度逾1158万手,耗资95.19亿元。截至收盘,中国联通总市值为1742亿元,封单价值占总市值比例为5.46%。

“这个走势无疑是毫无悬念的。封单量我认为并不算大,后续还有潜力继续攀升,个人认为至少有2-3个涨停。”一位私募基金经理吴先生向中国证券报记者表示。

海通证券通信团队表示,中国联通作为央企混改的龙头标的,改革方案的推出和实施将有力提升公司的发展活力;在传统电信业务增长乏力背景下,战略投资者的引进也将打开公司发展的新局面。预计此次混改有望在2017年内完成,6个月目标价9.48元,上调为“买入”评级。

换句话说,相对8月21日收盘价,海通证券预测的目标价还有15%的上涨空间;若以3月31日停牌当日收盘价7.47元为基准,海通证券预测的目标价距其涨幅为26.91%。

申万宏源证券则认为,通过与国际电信运营行、联通红筹、A股大盘股相对估值比较,同时考虑到联通A股停牌期间大盘涨幅约10%,预测下半年国企改革持续催化预期,资金注入H股有望提高AH股折算比例降低溢价,中国铁塔的上市有望提升15%-25%A股联通的内含价值等因素,判断联通A股存在20%以上上涨空间(以中国联通复牌前收盘价7.47元为基准)。

概念股几度沉浮

国企混改概念并不是个新颖的概念,说起来甚至有些“老生常谈”,概念股在A股市场几经沉浮。2014年“国企改革”概念横空出世,首批六家改革试点企业引爆了一轮A股大牛市,中国中车风光一时无两,2014年10月16日至2015年4月20日涨幅逾568%。

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