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中国外汇储备六连升 温彬:未来还将小幅增加
2017-08-07 21:35:44 中国经济网
中国经济网北京8月7日讯(记者 马常艳)中国人民银行公布的最新外汇储备规模数据显示,截至2017年7月末,外汇储备规模30807亿美元,较6月末上升239亿美元,为连续第六个月出现回升。专家分析认为,中国外汇储备六连升有国内和国际两方面原因。预计未来人民币兑美元汇率将保持稳定,外汇储备仍将小幅增加。
针对外汇储备规模变动的原因,国家外汇管理局有关负责人分析称,7月,我国跨境资金流动延续稳定势头,外汇供求趋向基本平衡;国际金融市场上,非美元货币相对美元总体升值,推动以美元作为计量货币的外汇储备规模出现上升。今年以来,我国经济延续了稳中有进、稳中向好的发展态势,支撑经济保持中高速增长和迈向中高端水平的有利因素进一步增多。国际金融市场相对稳定,跨境资金流动和外汇市场供求基本平衡,人民币汇率保持基本稳定。受此提振,居民和企业的购汇行为更加趋于理性。
中国民生银行首席研究员温彬在接受中国经济网记者采访时表示,今年以来,随着我国宏观经济企稳回升以及人民币汇率形成机制进一步完善,人民币兑美元贬值预期下降并对美元逐步升值,跨境资本流动形势回稳向好,在此背景下,银行结售汇逆差状况趋于改善,推动外汇储备持续回升。此外,7月份美元指数延续年初以来下跌走势,当月下跌3%左右,使我国外汇储备投资中非美元投资部分估值增加。
对于外汇储备未来走势,国家外汇管理局有关负责人预计,往前看,在供给侧结构性改革深入实施、创新驱动发展战略加快推进的大背景下,我国经济运行当中积极的变化还会继续增加。随着金融市场扩大开放,外汇市场健康发展,市场预期稳定,跨境资金流动总体企稳的基础更加坚实,将进一步推动外汇储备规模保持稳定。
温彬预计,下一阶段,在美元指数没有明显上涨的情况下,预计人民币兑美元汇率将保持稳定,外汇储备仍将小幅增加。
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