新闻 > 国际
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China

美媒:全球货币政策趋紧多国央行撤离或冲击市场

2017-10-11 13:21:54   

美媒称,全球经济同步扩张导致各国货币政策出现重大调整,各国央行开始撤离,这对市场、通胀和经济增长前景都会造成影响。

美国《华尔街日报》网站10月8日报道,继2007年至2009年的金融危机之后,在过去六年的大部分时间中,各大央行一直是全球市场上金融资产的净购买方,其每年增持的公债、抵押债和公司证券达到全球经济总产出的约1%-3%。

但现在这一情况正在发生改变。英格兰银行于今年2月宣布,将停止其大部分购债行为。美联储于2014年底停止购债,并于今年9月宣布逐步缩表。预计欧洲央行也将于10月底宣布放缓购债步伐。

据总部设在华盛顿、代表全球金融产业的行业组织国际金融协会估计,到今年底,各大央行的净购买额将减少到相当于全球国内生产总值(GDP)的2.4%;到明年底将降至0.8%;到2019年年中,发达经济体的央行将实现资产净收缩。

利率也在上升,这是收紧货币政策的另一种形式。自2015年以来,美联储已经四次提高利率,并预计于今年12月再次提高利率。加拿大央行于今年7月和9月两次提高利率,今年可能还会有一次加息行动。与此同时,澳大利亚储备银行和韩国银行正在为明年提高利率做准备。

全球央行政策改变的背景是经济更具活力。经合组织跟踪的所有45个国家和地区今年都将实现经济增长。在过去50年中,这种同步现象极为罕见。此前,在这一扩张阶段的早期,包括欧洲、亚洲一些国家所遭遇的经济困境影响了全球经济前景。

现在,各大央行的撤离被投资者视为“警报已解除”的积极信号。迄今为止,道琼斯全球股票指数已经上涨17%,美国、欧洲的多数市场、包括印度、韩国的大部分亚洲市场都实现了两位数的增长。

但是,各大央行的撤离也可能成为一个不受欢迎的举措。央行的购债行为是为了提振市场,将投资者推向风险更高的资产领域,如股票和房地产等。在理论上,央行的撤离应该会带来相反的效果。

国际金融协会全球宏观经济学家彼得·内格尔称,在削减债券购买方面没有先例可循,因此了解市场将如何反应是非常困难的。他还表示,即使央行削减债券购买的步伐与预期一样,我们也不能对市场出现混乱的风险掉以轻心。

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/10000166/20171011/31559772.html
Server: cms-8-252
Date: 2024/12/29 13:42:17

Powered by China
China