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复苏有力广泛 欧元区经济增速预测十年最快

2017-09-09 07:16:37   中国网

欧洲中央银行最新预测,2017年欧元区经济增速将达2.2%,为十年来最快。

欧洲中央银行行长马里奥·德拉吉说,今年上半年,欧元区经济增速超出预期。欧洲央行把今年经济增长预期从1.9%上调至2.2%,为2007年以来最高值。

德拉吉说:“欧元区经济复苏取得的进展得到广泛认可。”他用“有力”和“广泛”形容欧元区经济复苏。

他说,自2013年以来,欧元区增加了600万个工作岗位。

不过,欧洲央行把欧元区2018年和2019年的通货膨胀率预期下调至1.2%和1.5%,低于欧洲央行设定的2%通胀目标。

德拉吉说,为提升通胀率,货币政策需要“非常切实的调整”。

欧洲央行7日召开货币政策会议,决定维持现有利率水平和超宽松货币政策不变。

德拉吉说,欧洲央行可能在下月就货币宽松措施何去何从作出决定。作为量化宽松政策的一部分,欧洲央行现阶段每月买入大约600亿欧元(约合724亿美元)债券。

【担忧汇率】

提及欧元对美元汇率升值,德拉吉说,这一趋势可能产生“不确定性”。英国广播公司(BBC)7日提供的数据显示,欧元对美元今年迄今升值13%。

不过,德拉吉的言论并未压制欧元汇率走强。欧元对美元和英镑汇率双双继续上涨。

阿伯丁标准投资公司投资经理帕特里克·奥唐奈说:“毫无疑问,欧洲央行对欧元升值感到担心,但德拉吉对此确实无能为力。”

奥唐奈说,市场广泛预期,欧洲央行将在10月宣布计划收紧量化宽松政策。

万神殿宏观经济学研究公司首席欧元区经济分析师克劳斯·维斯特森说:“我们认为欧洲央行正在试图释放信号,即随着经济状况改善,刺激规模将收缩,但不会完全取消。”(卜晓明)

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