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原标题:“杀手机器人”何时出现? 专家:存在可能性,近几年不会出现
在未来的某一天,拥有了自我意识的机器人希望占领整个世界,于是它们向俄罗斯投射了一枚核弹……这是著名科幻电影《终结者》中的一幕,而在9月4日,类似场景也出现在特斯拉与SpaceX公司创始人埃隆·马斯克的预言中。
据CNN4日报道,美国、中国和印度被认为是引领人工智能竞赛的三个国家。上个月,高盛发布报告称,中国已经成为人工智能领域的主要竞争者。今年4月,马斯克承认上述3国“目前领先”,并称俄罗斯也会奋起直追,在需要时“通过非常规手段实现快速超车”。
俄罗斯媒体5日对马斯克的言论反应强烈。俄“今日经济”网5日称,这种警告并非首次,电影《终结者》已经描述了人工智能用大规模杀伤性武器对俄罗斯领土实施打击的场景。从战略上看,人工智能的威胁可能存在,但不应将其与俄军武器装备更新计划等联系在一起。另据俄塔社5日报道,俄国家杜马议员什哈戈舍夫称,马斯克这一言论是由于美国惧怕在这一领域与俄罗斯和中国进行竞争,“我认为,目前人工智能只是一个虚拟的威胁。美国政治家们不负责任的决定对世界比人工智能更加危险”。
中国网络空间战略研究所所长秦安5日接受《环球时报》记者采访时表示,人工智能作为一门新技术,将对人类经济活动产生巨大影响,怎么强调其重要性都不为过。但任何技术都是双刃剑。马斯克一味强调人工智能的负面效果,有危言耸听的成分。至少从目前来看,机器人发动战争的可能性还不存在。但这种提醒有利于我们更好地研发可控机器人。此外,作为一个美国企业负责人,他强调俄中在发展人工智能方面的投入,本质上还是渲染“外部威胁”。
“目前世界上还没有严格意义上的‘杀手机器人’”,中科院自动化所学者李长亮5日对《环球时报》记者说,马斯克描述的场景在未来存在可能性,但近几年不会出现。不过外界有猜测认为,美国一些军火公司可能已经掌握人工智能武器的相关技术,但从掌握技术到真正投放产品,还有一段路要走。
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