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英国央行:“脱欧”不确定性拖慢经济增长

2017-08-06 10:04:27   新华网

英国英格兰银行、即中央银行的行长马克·卡尼3日说,“脱欧”进程的不确定性对英国经济的负面影响开始显现:商业投资势头明显减弱,连带着“经济增速也放慢了”。

卡尼发言当天,英格兰银行投票决定维持0.25%的基准利率不变,这一利率水准从去年8月起至今未变。同时调低对本年度经济增长速度的预测:从5月的1.9%降低至1.7%,并将2018年的经济增速预测从1.7%调低至1.6%。

调低增长预测的消息公布后,当天英镑兑欧元汇率也降至9个月来最低水平:下降0.76%,至1英镑兑1.1063欧元。

卡尼说,央行希望商业投资能从目前“非常低迷”的状态尽快恢复过来,但“脱欧”进程的不确定性让不少企业担忧今后几年的市场前景,已影响到企业主给员工加薪的意愿。

前英国商会会长、知名“脱欧派”人士约翰·朗沃思则说,英国央行“在预测方面名声一向糟糕”,所以不必完全听信。但他承认,目前投资者信心“低于应有水平”。

英国广播公司(BBC)商业新闻编辑西蒙·杰克分析,目前英国物价涨幅为2.6%,而工资涨幅仅为2%,两者差距年内还将继续扩大;由于“脱欧”带来英镑贬值、进口物品价格上升,通胀率预计在10月将达到3%左右的顶峰,英国人“会感觉越来越穷”。这就是央行决定调低经济增速预测、同时维持目前利率水平不调高的主要原因。(沈敏)【新华社微特稿】

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