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对接发展战略 加强全球治理——专家谈金砖国家新十年合作

2017-08-30 19:55:42   新华网

新华社北京8月30日电 题:对接发展战略 加强全球治理——专家谈金砖国家新十年合作

于佳欣、沐铁城

金砖国家领导人厦门会晤即将召开,昭示着金砖国家合作将开启下一个“金色十年”。

站在新起点上的金砖国家面临哪些“成长的烦恼”?该如何深化彼此间的合作?在全球治理中如何发挥更大的作用?在日前商务部研究院主办的国家智库联席会议上,专家对这些热点问题予以回应和建言。

  面临“成长的烦恼” 但依然“金色十足”

对过去10年金砖国家的合作成果,商务部研究院院长顾学明评价说,10年来,金砖五国经贸合作基础扎实,不仅在传统的货物贸易领域继续推动务实合作,而且合作逐渐扩展到服务贸易、电子商务,以及投资便利化和知识产权等新领域。金砖国家还用实际行动维护并支持了多边机制的发展。

不过站在新起点上,金砖五国也面临着“成长的烦恼”。“一方面,世界经济贸易增速较慢,贸易保护主义和逆全球化思潮抬头;另一方面,金砖国家本身也出现分化,五国发展存在差距,比如过去10年,中国、印度、巴西经济增速超过全球,而俄罗斯、南非则低于全球经济增速。”国务院发展研究中心对外经济研究部主任许宏强说。

与此同时,近几年,个别金砖国家GDP增速降低甚至出现下降,一些“金砖褪色论”的声音频频出现。

在商务部研究院区域经济合作研究中心主任张建平看来,过去10年,金砖国家GDP占全球比重从11%上升到23%,放眼未来10年或20年,这个比重会稳步提高,而发展中国家和发达国家比重会逐渐下降。“从动态过程来看,金砖国家合作的含金量会越来越高。”

近些年,信息与通讯技术产品在金砖国家出口中占比较大,服务贸易占比也在不断提升。“金砖国家无论在规模上还是在结构上,成色都十分足,是一个‘千足金’的角色。”商务部研究院对外贸易研究所副主任梁明说。

  金砖合作再启新程 规则建设与产能合作并行

未来10年,金砖国家如何开启合作新征程?专家认为,寻找新动能、拓展新领域、深化产能合作、加强规则建设等,是未来的方向。

许宏强认为,金砖国家拓展经贸合作,既要提升贸易便利化程度,也要加大在新业态新产业的合作,在服务贸易、电子商务、信息技术、人工智能等方面寻找新的合作机会。

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