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企业良好业绩推动恒指盘中破28000点

2017-08-28 20:21:09   中国青年网

新华社香港8月28日电题:企业良好业绩推动恒指盘中破28000点

新华社记者张欢

香港恒生指数28日在盘中突破28000点,创下2015年5月以来高点,收盘较前日上涨15.13点。业界认为,此轮涨势缘于企业良好业绩的集中推动,内地经济增长预期及国际金融政策氛围为港股后续平稳发展提供环境。

28日恒生指数在高开基础上,盘中升逾28000点,开创两年多以来的新高,收盘报27863.29点,上涨0.05%,进一步提升了上周的“四连升”态势。至此,恒指今年累计上升27%左右。

市场普遍观点认为,这波涨势是企业良好业绩集中推动的结果,并非短期炒作因素所致。

8月正值港股上市公司集中发布中期业绩,无论是红筹股,还是H股科技、保险等板块都呈现了良好成绩,即将公布中期年报的国有四大行的表现也被市场期待,由此奠定了此轮健康升势,并实现了连续多个交易日成交额突破千亿元。

永丰金融集团研究部主管涂国彬表示,香港股市正在从企业盈利中获得非常好的上涨动力。

招商证券(国际)策略分析师纪春华指出,当前行情中表现突出的当属中资蓝筹股,尤其是内地银行股。

28日红筹指数高开0.33%,国企指数在高开基础上涨幅超过百点,延续跑赢恒指态势。四大国有商业银行继续升势,幅度约1%,其中建行创新高;工行、交行、中行现约两年高位。

投资管理公司贝莱德的研究报告认为,中资蓝筹股受到内地供给侧结构性改革的影响,利润逐步增长,多个行业利润好转后,银行盈利也会有反映。国家统计局已于日前公布,1-7月,规模以上工业企业中,国有控股企业实现利润总额同比增长44.2%。

自年初以来贝莱德已经多次上调内地企业的盈利预测,并有多家国际投资管理公司上调MSCI中国指数盈利预测,这进一步反映了市场对企业盈利的信心。

本周三,工、中、建、农四大国有商业银行将集中发布年中业绩,内地制造业PMI数据也即将公布,且市场对这些信息的预期向好。鉴于此,招商证券国际的研究报告认为,8月后期港股将继续受乐观盈利预期带动。

从经济环境来看,今年内地经济增长稳中有进,人民币国际化逐步深化,人民币币值走强,均强化了市场的乐观预判。同时,推动港股上升的南下资金,伴随互联互通机制的完善还有更多投入空间,港股通机制还将带来A股和H股估值体系的融合,进一步为市场提供上涨支撑。

贝莱德中国投资策略师陆文杰谈到,预计大型国企的高盈利水平仍有持续性,部分行业下半年盈利水平或超过上半年,进而带动港股全年表现。

国际因素中利好也较多,例如,美元走弱;欧洲央行认为欧元区经济复苏已稳固,对欧元上涨并不担心等。

涂国彬表示,目前全球经济逐步复苏,主要央行政策并未显露明显收缩信息,中国经济也在稳定增长,因此,环球投资者对香港股市的前景偏乐观。

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