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社科院报告:北京房价环比首降 环京城市跌幅大

2017-06-13 01:30:46   

原标题:社科院报告:北京房价环比首降 环京城市跌幅较大

数据图

6月12日,中国社科院财经战略研究院、中国社科院城市与竞争力研究中心《中国住房发展报告》项目组发布了2017年5月《住房市场发展月度分析报告》(以下简称《报告》)。

上述《报告》是在2017年5月大数据房价指数(BHPI)的基础上结合相关调查而完成,指数样本覆盖了30个主要城市和数十个重点城市的主要城区。根据重复交易指数模型的技术特性,BHPI仅监测存量住房价格变动,新建商品住房价格变动不计入该指数。

《报告》显示,在热点地区严厉的政策调控下,2017年5月热点城市房价涨速整体回落。其中,北京房价环比首次出现下降。

作为本期《报告》的执笔人,社科院城市与竞争力研究中心研究员邹琳华表示,随着资金面的收紧,以及地方政府对住房投资需求特别是跨区域住房投资的联合管控,多数城市房价短期涨势将得到抑制,前期房价上涨过快、泡沫较大的城市短期可能出现下跌,但房价上涨的压力仍然存在。

北京各区房价指数全面下跌

《报告》显示,在4个一线城市中,北京、深圳5月房价指数环比下降,分别下跌4.09%、0.36%。而上海与广州尽管5月环比仍出现上涨,但涨幅也较上月收窄。

具体到北京而言,5月份北京各区房价指数全面下跌。《报告》显示,其中西城区下跌8.43%、海淀区下跌7.45%,领跌于全市各区县板块。邹琳华认为,由于北京市入学政策出现重大调整,强调实际居住及试行多校划片等,都对这两个板块虚高的“学区房”价格形成冲击。

值得注意的是,5月通州区在北京各区县板块中表现得最为抗跌,仅下跌0.01个百分点。邹琳华认为,这主要源于通州区实行双重限购政策,板块泡沫相对较低。

此前,已有机构发布数据显示,北京5月二手房房价出现下调。链家研究院的监测数据显示,市场的降温使业主预期得以扭转。在5月调价的房源中,降价房源占比攀升至89.3%, 是自2012年以来的最高水平,表明业主态度不再强势。

另外,二手房市场的降温也表现在网签数量的下降上。北京市住建委的数据显示,5月全月,北京二手住宅共网签10801套,创下2015年2月以来的最低值。

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