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外媒:美就南海向东盟示好 中国握反制“利器”

2016-02-16 09:08:05   李勇 辛斌 青木 张旺 吴志伟 甄翔

扯着嗓门把“亚太再平衡”喊了好几年的奥巴马政府,终于迎来一个可以“摆功”的时刻——当地时间15日至16日,奥巴马在加州安纳伯格庄园与东盟10国领导人举行非正式会议,这也是美国—东盟非正式峰会首次在美利坚的土地上召开。

有美媒称其为奥巴马“再平衡”道路上的里程碑。美国官员一面宣称会议并非针对中国,一面透露南海问题将是重要议题,并重复“在南海大国不能欺负小国”等很像说给中国听的话。

美国媒体则断定,中国将成为“房间里的大象”,美国将借此机会制衡中国。这种如意算盘会得逞吗?舆论并不看好。分析人士普遍认为,多数东盟国家与中国关系密切,奉行大国平衡战略的东盟不可能完全按美国的指挥棒起舞。

“美国向东盟示爱,中国拿着钱袋子”,美国彭博社15日以此为题称,虽然奥巴马让美国成为平衡中国的强大力量,但中国却在东南亚施展巨大的经济影响力,在2009年和之前一年超过日本和美国,成为东盟最大的贸易伙伴。澳大利亚“东亚论坛”网站15日称,东盟在TPP问题上不可能用一种声音说话,目前只有4个国家加入。中国与东盟有自贸协议,而且中国通过亚投行向东南亚的基建工程提供帮助。东盟会既利用TPP也利用亚投行。在安全方面,东盟需要美国来平衡中国,但中国又是东盟最重要的经济伙伴。澳大利亚安全问题专家休·怀特说:“亚洲国家可能支持美国反对中国称霸,但与此同时,也不乐意美国太霸道。”

“如果能让东盟联合起来牵制中国,对美国利益当然有很大好处,这可以说是美国打的如意算盘。但是联合牵制中国显然不符合东盟的整体利益,美国也不可能达到这个目标。”中国社科院亚太与全球战略研究院研究员许利平15日对《环球时报》记者说,东盟和中国也有很特别的经贸、政治关系,东盟内部亲华、亲美、中立的都有,中国不会被美国和东盟关系走近边缘化,美国急于和东盟加强关系正说明中国的影响力还是令其担忧的。许利平表示,东盟实行的对外战略是大国平衡,选边站不符合其利益。这种战略是“小马拉大车式”的,利用整体拉着美国、中国、日本等比较大的经济体。东南亚国家已形成政治和安全靠美国、经济靠中国的格局。

新加坡《今日报》当天引述专家的话说,若奥巴马在会上要求东盟明确支持美国的南海行动,会场将成为他的失望之地。

【环球时报驻美国、新加坡、德国特约记者 李勇 辛斌 青木 环球时报记者 张旺 吴志伟 甄翔】

责任编辑:汤鹏霏 CM015
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