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这场重要磋商,中国可能得先“说通”印度

2019-02-21 08:04:54   参考消息 

摘要:对中国而言,在推进RCEP谈判的同时,东北亚地区的相关谈判也可以同时推进,以灵活方式、多元应对全新的全球化趋势。

微信图片_20190221073124.jpg

资料图:印度西里古里的居民在街边市场买菜。(图源:新华社)

在外界密切关注中美经贸磋商之际,另一场对中国而言颇具重要性的经贸磋商正在印尼展开。

据新加坡《联合早报》报道,中国、日本、韩国、印度等16国参加的《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)工作层面谈判会议19日在印度尼西亚举行。持续至28日的会议期间,各方将围绕关税领域、知识产权及电子商务(EC)规则等展开磋商。

另据日本共同社报道,RCEP去年以达成“实质性妥协”为目标展开谈判,但主张大范围取消关税的日本及澳大利亚与考虑到今年大选而要求保护本国产业的印度等未能弥合分歧。

《日本经济新闻》近日刊载社论称,RCEP谈判即将迎来关键时刻。各国的方针是以2019年秋天达成协议为目标。

澳大利亚、新西兰、韩国和东盟国家也参与了RCEP的谈判。社论认为,一旦协定生效,这将会诞生一个占全球国内生产总值(GDP)和贸易额约三成的巨大自贸圈。RCEP的签署不仅会对成员国的经济形成支撑,提高对人、财、物的吸引力,还将筑起防范美国政府推动的保护主义的防波堤,有望在维护世界经济稳定方面发挥作用。

还有舆论指出,中国巨大的市场,对参与RCEP谈判的国家极富吸引力,同时,如果印度顺利加入RCEP,那么市场吸引力将不言而喻。

世界经济问题学者陈凤英在接受参考消息网采访时称,当前,印度是RCEP谈判推进的“关键点”之一。

事实上,印度并非不想加入RCEP,鉴于全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(CPTPP)已经启动,而自己又未能参与其中,因此,很担心在大型区域“贸易圈”中被落下份额。印度《经济时报》网站就刊文称,有望成为世界最大贸易集团的轮廓正在成型。不可否认,印度加入这样一个巨大的经济体俱乐部将增强其战略实力。这是一个引入历史性贸易变革的机会,其本身将巩固印度作为全球主要经济体的地位。

不过,由于发展等诸多原因,印度推进开放的程度相对较低,同时还面临一些国内问题,例如经济结构性问题。因此,印度需要更长时间为达成RCEP进行准备。

舆论注意到,中国正在积极推进与印度的协调。彭博新闻社网站报道称,中国谋求与印度举行会谈,以缓解其对地区自由贸易协议的担忧。

陈凤英认为,中国可以采取更为灵活的机制与措施应对,例如给予印度观察员身份,以确保RCEP更好地推进。

她进一步指出,当前,全球化已经走到了“十字路口”。过去,全球化的方向是各国一直向前,但如今全球化的方向发生改变,即出现分化。对中国而言,在推进RCEP谈判的同时,东北亚地区的相关谈判也可以同时推进,以灵活方式、多元应对全新的全球化趋势。

责任编辑:梁云娇 CN079
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