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美国当然首要维持在全球的战略利益。一方面加强反导系统建设,希望打造无所不防的“坚盾”,另一方面又想加强进攻性战略武器发展,希望拥有无坚不摧的“利矛”。但是,同时追求这俩目标,必然要耗费巨大的人、财、物资源,在具体实施中只能是“有主有次”。从当前情况看,美国在反导系统的投入虽会逐渐增加,但其受到政治和技术因素的限制较多。比如有些“小弟”在政治上不太配合,或国内意见就不统一;有些反导技术尚不过关,难以确保拦截概率。因此,如果要实现对俄罗斯的战略优势,还是要将希望寄托在“矛”上,这就要求美国对本已十分先进的战略核武库实施进一步升级和改进。
其实,即使削减到今天的地步,美俄手中的核武器也足够毁灭世界N多次,更不用说毁灭对方了。美俄之所以都要进一步发展核力量,当然是要巩固和加强自己在军事力量“第一阵营”的优势。
近年来,各主要军事强国的常规军力发展迅猛,范围遍及海、陆、空、天、网、电等各个领域,还出现了一批新概念、新形态装备。例如,由于航空和航天技术的结合发展,以及人类整体工业能力的提升,距地面20公里~100公里的临近空间正在成为新的战场,飞行速度动辄数倍甚至十几倍音速的飞行器已接近实用化。如果此类装备投入使用,未来战争形态可能发生重大改变。
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