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现在无疑是国民党最困难的时期,然而眼下的局面应当不会长久。在台湾的政体下,民进党一党独大几无可能。更何况民进党顽固走“台独”路线,逆亚太大势而动,它遭到政治惩罚将是笃定的。蔡英文上台只几个月,但她的支持率已经跌回到绿营基本盘水平,各种抗议潮风起云涌。大陆反“台独”的坚定立场一定会转化成民进党的厄运,顽固对抗大陆的政治力量休想坐稳台湾。
从长远看,坚持“九二共识”是台湾的必由之路,大陆的继续发展将进一步锁定台海博弈的结局。其实时至今日,台湾已经被大陆的强大实力揽入怀中,“台独”的选项已被埋葬,只不过大陆彻底收拾“台独”的时机尚不成熟。台湾支持“九二共识”的政治力量无疑前途光明,它们或许需要的是团结,以及针对台湾政治环境的智慧。
岛内支持“九二共识”的力量有它们的难处,它们做任何表态毕竟需要考虑台湾的现实语境。然而不被民进党牵着鼻子走也很重要。如果在政治立场上一退再退,它们将失去自我标识和旗帜,被民进党搞出的乌烟瘴气吞没。那反而是政治上的自毁。
大陆民众还是一起给洪秀柱鼓个掌吧。我们无力技术上调控台湾内部政治斗争,但大陆支持什么反对什么永远需要旗帜鲜明。让台湾的各派政治力量自己来斟酌与大陆的远近吧。与大陆接近作为台湾政治力量的正资产会是一个逐渐清晰的趋势,大陆需要以自己的力量证明这一趋势。
责任编辑:李东舰 CN031
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