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香港人兑换人民币热度有增无减 银行高息抢储

2014-05-19 10:41:35   中国新闻网

中新网5月19日电 据香港《文汇报》报道,人民币今年以来贬值逾3%,兑港币重回80关,但港人对人民币的热捧并未降温,无论是兑换量还是存款量都有增无减,有市民日日用尽2万元(人民币,下同)的兑换上限,近日并复见银行以3.6厘高息抢人民币存款,有业者相信是银行备战日后全人币结算的“沪港通”有关。恒生银行认为,沪港通开通后可以带动香港人民币外汇每日交易量增长约两成;永隆银行则估计,香港人民币存款到年底可突破1.2万亿元,较3月底的数字增27%;如计及存款证,更将达到1.5万亿元。

据金管局统计数字,香港3月份认可机构的存款总额下跌1.5%,其中港元存款下跌2.2%,外币存款下跌0.9%,但当中香港人民币存款增加2.7%,至3月底的9449亿元人民币。跨境贸易结算的人民币汇款总额6024亿元人民币,2月份的数字则为3941亿元人民币。事实上,香港人民币存款自去年经过6、7月份两个月下跌,自8月回复增长后,已经连续8个月录增长,即使是今年来人民币贬值期间,存款仍一路增长,由去年底的8605亿元增至最新今年3月份的9449亿元,增加844亿元或9.81%,换算成港币,即是首季有近1050亿港元转换成人民币。

永隆:资金池年底可破1.2万亿

数据反映人民币今年来的贬值,对香港的人民币存款量未有影响。永隆银行司库萧启洪在接受专访认为,若人民币继续贬值,香港第二季的人币存款量增幅可能继续减缓,但今年全年计的月均增长的底线仍可保持于240亿元以上。以此计算,人民币资金池今年年底时可突破1.2万亿元,如计及存款证将达到1.5万亿元。到2015年年底,更将达到约1.8万亿-2万亿元水平。

至于该行的情况,据萧启洪披露,该行截至今年4月底录得300多亿元人币存款,较去年年底增长14%。息口水平则与市场最高的差不多,既未特别调升亦未特别降低,目前约为3厘左右,最高为3.2厘。他称,除非市场开始预期人民币进入长期贬值通道,才会发生卖出人民币换回港元的情况,从目前的数据来看,尚未发生这种情况,反而有不少客户趁汇率贬值买入更多的人民币。

客户普遍认为人民币短贬长升

星展银行(香港)零售银行业务存款及有抵押贷款执行董事陈伟思在接受访问时亦指出,人民币今年以来大幅贬值,对该行的人民币存款并无影响。她指,该行比较注重发展高端客户,此前人民币升值时,不少客户每日已用尽每日两万元的配额,今年人民币调头贬值期间,这一现象仍持续,有客户甚至连续十余日用尽配额,涉及资金达20余万元,转为人民币定期存款赚取利息,相信是由于客户普遍认为人民币只是短期贬值,长远仍将升值,因此趁低吸纳。

陈伟思不肯披露该行人民币存款的具体数据,但表示与去年年底比较,今年截至目前有增长,增幅与市场相若。对今年全年的存款前景也持乐观看法,指内地开放更多人民币离岸试点,以及“沪港通”即将落实等因素,都会香港市场对人民币的需求持续增加。

息口方面,陈伟思指该行推出的6个月人民币定存,息口达3.18%,较内地银行更加优惠,惟必须是新资金,且以十万元起步。她表示,以前内地银行的息口较吸引,不少港人调集资金北上做定存,但现时“离岸(息口)更有覑数”,估计未来两地的息差将会进一步收窄。

港银行抢人币存款潮沉静一阵子后,近日再现炽热。数据显示,其中建银亚洲重推3.4厘的1年期定存优惠,永亨亦出推2个月定存息率最高3.6厘;汇丰现时亦正正做1个月3.8厘的推广。恒生则长期提供新客1个星期6.8厘的优惠。

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